SurroundSwimming3494 t1_j1h89fk wrote on December 24, 2022 at 9:08 AM

Reply to comment by Saylar in Hype bubble by fortunum

I can see some jobs going away this decade, but I don't think there'll be significant economic disruption until the 2030's. My overall expectation is that many lines of work will be enhanced by AI/robotics for a long while being they start reducing in size (and by size, I mean workers). I just don't see a jobapocalypse happening this decade like others on this sub.

>The world will start to change radically in the next 5 years is my prediction and we're not ready. Not even remotely.

This is a bit excessive, in my opinion. I'd be willing to bet that the world will look very similar to the way it looks today 5 years from now. Will there be change (both technological and societal) in that time period just like there was change in the last 5 years? Of course there will, but not so much change that the world will look entirely different in that timespan. Change simply doesn't happen that fast.

The world will change, and we need to adjust to that change, but I'm just saying we shouldn't go full on Chicken Little, if you know what I mean.

Saylar t1_j1h9skh wrote on December 24, 2022 at 9:31 AM

Oh, I think we agree on this point. I don't mean we'll see massive layoffs within the next 5 years, but rather real world foundation for all the problems we're talking about here. They won't be just random thoughts and predictions anymore.

It will mostly look the same for the average user, not interested or invested in this technology, but will be vastly different under the hood. And when the foundation is there, change will happen fast. AI will not create nearly as many jobs as it will create, at least I don't see how.

I see it as both real bad and real good, but it depends on how we're using it. With capitalism at the core, I don't see it as particular good chance for most workers. With the way politics work, I don't see them reacting to it fast enough. On the other hand: It's the first time in years that I feel a tiny bit optimistic about climate change (well, combating it) and all the advances in understanding the world around us and ourselves.

I'm mostly on this train to raise awareness for people who have now idea what is currently happening and stay up to date on the developments, because this will be radical change for all of us.