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blackvelvetgorilla t1_j21elzf wrote

20 years is way too far out to make any kind of educated guesses. We used to be able to predict a lot about the relative foundations of education and industry, but not anymore. We will likely have GPT 4 in a year or so. A GPT 5 within a 2 or 3 years after that. By the end of 5 years we may be just about to get GPT 6. There will be many emergent properties as we scale up the size of the datasets and the quantity and quality of the training. There will also be many competitors to GPT. That's just for language models. Education will be profoundly affected 5 years from now, let alone 20.

Then we also have image generation, like Dalle 2, Midjourney, and Stable Diffusion. Those will get much better in 5 years. Look at the progress in the last year.

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We will also have text to video that is amazing and capable. Different teams have already shown peaks at what they are starting to do now.

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We will have many specialized and purpose built AIs of immense capability and scale.

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We will also have the march of hardware improvement in CPUS, GPUS, ASICS, and everything in between.

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We will have massive improvements in the software engines for 3d worlds, like the next Unreal Engines or their competitors.

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As we push into the ten year area, even that is incredibly beyond our ability to predict now. Super advanced AIs and robotics and brain computer interfaces along with augmented reality and virtual reality and gene editing and much more. The depth and complexity of those technologies will be so far advanced compared to today's tech.

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There will be so many emergent technologies and unpredictable apps and combinations of technologies that it's really impossible to say what is that level of advancement will mean for us as a species. That's just 10 years. 20 years we may not even have anything resembling contemporary universities anymore, or they will be so advanced and different as to be unrecognizable.

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ethicaldwarf OP t1_j21gmq3 wrote

What skills do you think schools needs to learn students to be future proof?

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Desperate_Food7354 t1_j21j077 wrote

Too hard to say, but tbh the trades are probably pretty safe as they require your body to move around in weird ways in weird places, depends on you as a person and your skills and passions which should be more primary.

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Buck-Nasty t1_j21u1cc wrote

Nothing, likely much sooner than 20 years AI will surpass humans in every cognitive task

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5-MethylCytosine t1_j21k91e wrote

One important thing will be to generate new knowledge that these AI’s can be trained on. Plenty of cutting edge research will still require humans to lead, even if AI is part of the development/design of the cutting edge. IMHO

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ethicaldwarf OP t1_j21p9ix wrote

When an ai is smarter than an human, ai will come with new ideas. I think you are partly right, humans prefer humans over ai as leaders. But for coming with research topics and doing the actual research ai will both outperform us within 30 years.

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raubhill t1_j232zr0 wrote

some research is so niche there might not be datasets to train the ai. The use of AI assistants for statistical analysis of results and reviewing experimental protocols is interesting though

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Familiar_Plastic3988 t1_j21wtm6 wrote

I think that the most important "education" will be to find meaning in our lives, a problem which may not be solved by intelligence.

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Mooblegum t1_j22ztf5 wrote

Why living when AI is better than us. We are becoming obsolete. We better accept our fate as the genitor of a better consciousness and an soon obsolete specie

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Aevbobob t1_j221tuh wrote

When the worlds best teacher in every field lives on your phone and works for free, what, exactly, is the point of a college education?

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Ok_Homework9290 t1_j227dxu wrote

The degree, which is a requirement at many jobs.

Becoming independent for the first time in one's life.

Meeting new people from different backgrounds and exposing oneself to new ideas.

The experience, which many college students enjoy.

Etc.

In any case, I doubt AI is going to replace educators anytime soon.

For AI to be as valuable as a teacher/tutor/professor, it would have to essentially be perfect at educating, and perfecting AI takes a FAR, FAR longer time than making it good (a level that some would argue AI hasn't reached yet in the educating realm, despite tools like ChatGPT being as impressive as they are).

Never mind that a lot of education is hands-on, so you have to be present at a school/campus/etc. with a human educator to guide you through that.

Also, take into account that not all knowledge taught at schools is on the internet, which is where AI learns from.

Given these reasons and others, I don't really see the education system being disrupted anytime soon, but it will definitely change.

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Calm_Bonus_6464 t1_j21wh6p wrote

I'd guess by that point we'd have means for intelligence augmentation, making University worthless

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Mooblegum t1_j22zhyb wrote

Why skills? AI is gona replace us all. Already making illustrating obsolète, then writing, coding, driving and it will extend to every intelectual jobs.

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