cloudrunner69 t1_j674qm3 wrote on January 28, 2023 at 4:40 AM

Reply to comment by Ezekiel_W in When do you believe the singularity will happen? by Stranfort

Basically the singularity is the point when technological growth progresses so rapidly that is impossible to predict what comes next.

joseph_dewey t1_j67coy7 wrote on January 28, 2023 at 6:03 AM

By that definition, it has already happened, and probably happened back in the caveman days. Prediction is pretty tough, and almost everyone gets it wrong. Technological growth has been "rapid" since the species before us invented tools.

I thought that technological singularity was always defined in terms of AI surpassing human intelligence.

cloudrunner69 t1_j67jmp4 wrote on January 28, 2023 at 7:28 AM

I don't know if anyone can make 100% accurate predications, but I think we can still make some pretty reasonable guesses based on current and past trends. For instance we can see the evolution of things like CPU's and can make some pretty good predications on what their next stage of evolution will look like. When the singularity hits something like the next steps of innovation in processors will be impossible to determine, because the growth in that technology will be to rapid to follow.

DungeonsAndDradis t1_j675sm2 wrote on January 28, 2023 at 4:50 AM

Right now it's a pretty safe guess that people will still be using smartphones every day in three years.

When the singularity hits we won't be able to predict what technology breakthroughs will happen tomorrow.

cloudrunner69 t1_j676ey6 wrote on January 28, 2023 at 4:57 AM

> When the singularity hits we won't be able to predict what technology breakthroughs will happen tomorrow.

More like it will be progressing so fast we won't be able to predict what happens in the next few seconds.