Comments

You must log in or register to comment.

ozzykiichichaosvalo t1_j66t4ir wrote

Down the rabbit hole. Last survivors will scramble for an AI after 2050.

1

Ezekiel_W t1_j66tggm wrote

This depends on what you consider to be the singularity. Are we talking about the creating of an AGI like Vernor Vinge put forth, or more a Kurzweil singularity of an ASI in your pocket for $1000?

4

Sashinii t1_j672cam wrote

Before mods delete this thread like they delete most singularity prediction threads: I think 2030.

4

pink_slim t1_j675bcb wrote

I believe it's already happened.

6

No_Confection_1086 t1_j677cu0 wrote

Replying to [deleted] (#1,544,606)

Yes, I joined this forum because I'm interested in artificial intelligence. I've met a lot of names and I like to hear the news, but in fact, everyone who makes perfectly reasonable comments like yours is attacked. this forum is mostly made up of sci fi lovers. if you had said that the singularity would happen next year and that you could date a jennifer lawrence robot you would have gotten a lot of likes

1

banned_mainaccount t1_j678w9f wrote

Replying to cloudrunner69 (#1,544,730)

that is one of most shit logic I've ever seen. the sub is about discussing singularity, and both the sides can participate in the discussion. it's not exclusive to those who believe and if it was, we would be circlejerking over and over.

0

Straddle_E_Do t1_j67c9j8 wrote

2010-2015 is my guess. The public doesn’t have to know about it.

2

joseph_dewey t1_j67coy7 wrote

Replying to cloudrunner69 (#1,545,583)

By that definition, it has already happened, and probably happened back in the caveman days. Prediction is pretty tough, and almost everyone gets it wrong. Technological growth has been "rapid" since the species before us invented tools.

I thought that technological singularity was always defined in terms of AI surpassing human intelligence.

3

banned_mainaccount t1_j67ehwq wrote

Replying to TopicRepulsive7936 (#1,546,868)

bro i don't think you understand the words you're using. yeah it's very likely, but it's not "self evident". first of all even saying sun will rise tomorrow, is not 100% true, tho chances of it not rising are astronomically low. and when we talk about something like technological singularity, where we have to consider millions of factors to predict what will happen in future, there is really no telling. you could say it's likely, but not it's "correct". science doesn't consider anything to be self evident. even 1+1=2 has 300 pages proof in principia mathematica. i know some people have this tendency to believe anything that will make them and their life special, it's exciting to believe that world will change in your lifetime, but there's a fine line between what you want and what you get.

1

cloudrunner69 t1_j67jmp4 wrote

Replying to joseph_dewey (#1,546,721)

I don't know if anyone can make 100% accurate predications, but I think we can still make some pretty reasonable guesses based on current and past trends. For instance we can see the evolution of things like CPU's and can make some pretty good predications on what their next stage of evolution will look like. When the singularity hits something like the next steps of innovation in processors will be impossible to determine, because the growth in that technology will be to rapid to follow.

1

cloudrunner69 t1_j67lmu4 wrote

Replying to banned_mainaccount (#1,546,178)

So you think this sub is for people who disagree with the premise of the subs fundamental subject?

It's like going on a sub devoted to the discussion of Islam and telling everyone that you think their religion is bullshit. Or going on the longevity sub and telling everyone that they are all wrong and life extension medicine and treatment are impossible and will never happen. How do you think people should respond to someone who so vehemently disagrees with the main premise of a sub?

0