Scarlet_pot2 OP t1_j39hw2h wrote on January 6, 2023 at 11:27 PM

Reply to comment by Cryptizard in We need more small groups and individuals trying to build AGI by Scarlet_pot2

Lets say there's a group of passionate PhDs self funded, over time they have a chance of 20% of finding a innovation or discovery in AI.

now let's say there is another group of intermediate and beginners, self funded, over time they have a 2% chance of making a discovery in AI.

But for the second example, there is 10 of those teams. All the teams mentioned are trying different things. If the end goal is advancement towards AGI, they all should be encouraged to keep trying and sharing right?

Cryptizard t1_j39jqjy wrote on January 6, 2023 at 11:40 PM

I am claiming, though, that amateurs and enthusiasts are incapable of contributing to state-of-the-art AI. There is too much accumulated knowledge. If it was a low, but possible, chance to just make AGI from first principles it would have already happened sometime in the last 50 years that people were working on it. If, however, it is like every other field of science, you need to build the next thing with at least deep understanding of the previous thing.

Your examples might not have had a lot of money, but they all certainly were experts in AI and knew what they were doing.