RabidHexley t1_j6k3jse wrote on January 30, 2023 at 10:02 PM

Reply to comment by [deleted] in What jobs will be one of the last remaining ones? by MrCensoredFace

Agreed. Not only because the technology doesn't yet exist. But because once it does it's impossible to accurately predict how it will be adopted and implemented by various industries on wildly unpredictable timelines, and what the actual impact would be once they did.

There's simply far too much to speculate on for any practical advice to be meaningful in this regard.

I think even when people aren't overestimating the rate AI tech will progress, they do overestimate how rapidly its effects will be felt in our actual lives. Once new tech is actually viable there's still significant delays before it's actually implemented, even AI is subject to this. Even if an AGI came out tomorrow, it will still likely be at least a decade before our lives we drastically changed by its development.

rixtil41 t1_j6k4unn wrote on January 30, 2023 at 10:10 PM

let's see if your opinion changes in 2029.

RabidHexley t1_j6k9ko7 wrote on January 30, 2023 at 10:41 PM

We'll see, I'm not an oracle, but things rarely develop that quickly in the real world. Name a technology that was invented (the point where it became actually viable to use) and didn't have a pretty lengthy turnaround to being actually implemented in widely used products or industries. Many fields may be downsized in the coming decade, but it is impossible to predict the degree.

If anything could be considered a good bet, it's that "menial mental labor" tasks will be phased out first. Typing up/evaluating reports, rote clerical tasks, data entry, etc. These are the types of tasks currently coming AI tech will have the easiest time actually replacing humans for.

Talking specifically about the types of tasks we'd typically want someone highly trained or educated for (since the question is being asked about someone going to college). Not speaking to labor in general.