Anybody who's done some remodeling/construction/handy man stuff, would know these skillsets will be the last ones to succumb to AI. It's just so unpredictable especially dealing with older houses.

I'm an AI dev and also I've done a decent amount of weekend warrior stuff, from plumbing/electrical to drywall/tile to finishing attic and basement. And I always imagine how I would go about training a model for a job at hand. It's basically not possible right now or in immediate future.

It is one thing to generate text, or image, and a whole new level is to control a humanoid robot that can sweat old pipes all on his own or snake new wires for an outlet. If I had to guess, at least 100x number of model parameters than GPT3. And training data? How do you even go about it? We will need to develop new approaches, like continuous learning. And can you imagine the compute you need to do inference with a model the size of GPT3 x 100? All of this in a humanoid robot? Yeah, it is insane. Of course that compute can be in the cloud and the robot is just a drone. Then you need a cloud supporting millions of these humanoid drones. If I had to guess again, we are at least 15 years and more likely 20 away from that.

Don't get me wrong, It will be done, but it will take the longest.