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CheriGrove t1_j5sm5jn wrote

"As smart as" is difficult to measure and judge. I think by 1980s standards, we might already be at something like a singularity as they might have judged it.

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SoylentRox t1_j5smhx9 wrote

Yes, but, intelligence isn't just depth, it's breadth.

In this case, to make possible exponential growth, AI has to be able to do most of the steps required to build more AI (and useful things for humans to get money).

Right now that means AI needs to be capable of controlling many robots, doing many separate tasks that need to be done (to ultimately manufacture more chips and power generators and so on).

So while chatGPT seems to be really close to passing a Turing test, the papers for robotics are like this : https://www.deepmind.com/blog/building-interactive-agents-in-video-game-worlds

And not able, yet, to actually control this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XPVC4IyRTG8 . (that boston dynamics machine is kinda hard coded, it is not being driven by current gen AI)

I think we're close and see for the last steps people can use chatGPT/codex to help them write the code, there's a lot more money to invest in this, they can use AI to design the chips for even better compute : lots of ways to make the last steps take less time than expected.

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CheriGrove t1_j5sn4z8 wrote

It's fascinating, existential, hopeful, and worrisome to the n'th degree, here's hoping its post scarcity utopia, rather than something Orwell could never have fathomed.

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