Submitted by blueSGL t3_10gg9d8 in singularity
Borrowedshorts t1_j53lrlq wrote
Reply to comment by icedrift in I was wrong about metaculus, (and the AGI predicted date has dropped again, now at may 2027) by blueSGL
The world has never seen anything like AI progress. AI capability has been advancing at nearly an order of magnitude improvement each year. It's completely unprecedented in human history. I think it's much more absurd to have such confidence AI progress will cease for no particular reason, which is what will have to happen if the post-2050 predictions are correct.
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