>Which in turn would require dozens of test flights to get that capability.

Of course there will be test fights involved in any program. No reason why it would take dozens. Several, like the Artemis program, is probably what we should expect.

>NASA is still close to a decade away from being able to duplicate the Apollo 17 mission.

NASA is not trying to duplicate Apollo. If they were they would be much closer.

I feel like at this point we are saying fairly similar things. There are engineering challenges that China is likely capable of solving in the medium term. We agree it's not necessarily easy but it also doesn't require any new breakthroughs.