He’s not going to get drastically less. He has made a ton of money playing for shitty organizations already.

He watched his brother have a career ended before it began because of a shitty organization’s incompetence.

I imagine if you told Carr that he could make $35m & $40m playing for Raiders/McDaniels and missing the playoffs the next two years or make $25m both years but on a super bowl contending team he would take the $25m.

It’s not just the money and playoff opportunities. He will get extra years if he plays somewhere that he isn’t killed behind a shitty O-line every game.

Plus, if he is on a team making playoff runs each year he’ll get extended. But on a team that misses the playoff because of a lot of one score losses (like Raiders this year) he is not getting extended and is being blamed for organizational failures that are out of his control (exactly what happened with the Raiders this year).

Raiders have made it clear they are moving on at QB. That means they will cut him because no NFL team can afford to pay a backup QB $35m. Especially not while paying the starter top money. The Raiders have no good rookie QBs on their roster so they are looking at veterans (Rodgers seems to be their preference) and that’s expensive.

Hell, look at how many of the playoff teams have QBs on their rookie deal, which allows for more money going to the rest of the roster. Jalen Hurts, Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, you get the point. I’m not going to include Brock Purdy or Trey Lance here because the 49ers couldn’t unload Jimmy G last year and had his contact on the books.

When the Chiefs paid Mahomes they had to make decisions for who, ultimately, would not get paid and that cost them Tyreek Hill.

There is just no way that Raiders keep him as a backup.

What is possible is that the Raiders run into a situation where they don’t get anyone better and don’t cut him and have to bring him back for a lame duck year similar to what happened with San Francisco and Mr Glass (aka, Jimmy G) this past season. However, I think McDaniels wants Carr out of the building as quick as he can get rid of him so that McDaniels might lose some of his competition for Rodgers. Realize that there are only a handful of teams that the top veterans will go to and McDaniels has to compete against those teams for the QBs. I think McDaniels hopes Carr signs with the Jets or Tennessee, which is probably the Raiders’ top competition for Rodgers because those are complete teams with good defense and good coaching that are probably just a QB away from going deep in the playoffs. If one of those sign Carr, then it increases Vegas’s chances of getting Aaron.