Mutex70 t1_jecplp3 wrote on March 31, 2023 at 1:26 AM

Reply to comment by [deleted] in immortality: Humans will attain immortality with the help of 'nanobots' by 2030, claims former Google scientist by Vailhem

And how was that 86% number determined? Oh right, that was his own interpretation of how many predictions he had gotten right.

The guy is like a tech version of a psychic. He makes money by promising unrealistic bullshit without a shred of evidence.

VdomanFla t1_jefqr3m wrote on March 31, 2023 at 6:04 PM

I predict that the comment before yours will be down-voted. There, I'm off on my journey as a prognosticator.

[deleted] t1_jedth51 wrote on March 31, 2023 at 8:22 AM

He was fact checked externally. Listen, it's not that difficult: In 1995 he says "In 2010 1000$ computers will have as much storage as the human brain" and he turns out to be right. Easy.

DevAway22314 t1_jef1o8z wrote on March 31, 2023 at 3:21 PM

You were fact checked externally. By me. The result was:

False

All the sources I looked at cited the storage capacity of the human brain in the petabyte range, with all sources putting it at >10TB, which is many times the storage capacity of a 2010 computer for $1000

2.5 petabytes: https://www.medanta.org/patient-education-blog/what-is-the-memory-capacity-of-a-human-brain/

10-100 TB: https://aiimpacts.org/information-storage-in-the-brain/

>1 petabyte: https://www.salk.edu/news-release/memory-capacity-of-brain-is-10-times-more-than-previously-thought/

The inaccuracy aside, it's a ridiculous claim anyway. There is no good way to compare the two, and the fact the range of estimates varies by >200x should say a lot about it