waterbed87 t1_iu7ll04 wrote on October 29, 2022 at 4:11 AM

Reply to comment by therealzombieczar in EU approves effective ban on new fossil fuel cars from 2035 by Wagamaga

I'd love to see higher MPG but unless someone forces them to do it automakers have no incentive to do it. I believe Obama had gotten some passed to force them to invest in more efficient vehicles but Trump cancelled them so here we are, now everyone is all-in on electric what do you do.

I think electric vehicles will become completely different animals by time ICE is getting phased out and if it's not up to certain jobs I'm sure exceptions will be made so farmers can still do their jobs until the technology catches up. I personally believe by 2035 we'll both be in awe at how far the tech has come but time will tell.

therealzombieczar t1_iu7n35r wrote on October 29, 2022 at 4:27 AM

the only reason electric vehicles exist as a consumer product is lithium batteries... which were invented in the 70's...

the governments can and do put a minimum average mpg on manufacturers, and that's all they need to do. picking a winner before theres competition is idiotic(and very typical of bureaucrats)

ice ban effectively bans hydrogen combustion/turbine... but i bet it doesn't ban steam driven...

waterbed87 t1_iu7ndxe wrote on October 29, 2022 at 4:30 AM

Look unless you can jump to 2035 and tell me how wrong I was this is a pretty pointless discussion at this point. I've agreed the tech isn't there and our primary difference is I believe it will catch up and you assume it won't. Time will tell nothing left to be said. If ICE is still required for certain working conditions it's not like the EU or other governments are going to go 'tough shit guess we all starve', exceptions will be made.

But as I said, I think we'll be in awe of what 2035 electric vehicles are like compared to 2022 ones and it's well known that Lithium Ion isn't the solution forever which is why huge investments are being made in alternatives.

therealzombieczar t1_iu7nzoi wrote on October 29, 2022 at 4:37 AM

my point is with the exception of digital/virtual tech nothing improves that fast...

the electric car was first in circulation in the 1920's...

however hydrogen, bio diesel and ethanol are all refuelable with a much higher energy density than batteries. and that is unlikely to change.

still have high hopes for hydrogen fual cell..

waterbed87 t1_iu7on48 wrote on October 29, 2022 at 4:44 AM

It does improve that fast. In 2010 the Tesla Roadster got 240 miles of range and it's performance was 0-60 in 4s. In 20202 the Tesla Model S gets 400 miles of range and 0-60 in 2s Double or Nearly doubled in both metrics. I'm confident by 2035 there will be electric trucks with like 500+ miles of range and like 200-250 towing which will be comparable to ICE and if fast charging takes 20 minutes today it will probably take like 10 by then.

Regardless this is still pointless, I really don't want to argue about hypotheticals. Time will tell, if the tech doesn't catch up ICE will stick around to fill in the gaps until it does. If something better than Electric comes along we'll see a shift to that instead eventually. The world isn't going to end because ICE gets completely or mostly phased out.