FOMC Meeting Projections?

Submitted by Fawkinchit t3_yigeev in wallstreetbets

Just wanted to make a thread where everyone can give their input for the coming FOMC meeting. I feel like this is a hard one to call, things are already going sideways in anticipation. Also what people think the market will do.

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VisualMod t1_iuihmc6 wrote

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1

kitbiggz t1_iuii9l5 wrote

.75 as the markets expect but will give hints of .50 in December to keep the bulls engaged

16

token-eater t1_iuiiv6m wrote

.75 to 100 tbh. Inflation isn’t going down and people have plenty of money to gamble with shitcoins and meme stocks

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loldraftingaid t1_iuiiz6l wrote

Baseline is 75 bp - and from what I've seen, as are most analyst expectations. I'm assuming that some small % of the market thinks that 50/100 bp is how it'll turn out. An actual announcement of 75bp should result in a small bump in the market, while a 100bp should result in a large downturn.

Source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

0

Massive_Echo8929 t1_iuikkug wrote

Buying 0dte puts Wednesday at 1:55pm and praying for a giant red dildo.

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Iceman29808 t1_iuil5tn wrote

75 bps, while hinting at slowing down.

0

0x11C3P t1_iuilf0z wrote

People are still rallying for GME to go parabolic.

Fed's going to hammer down w/ hawkishness to tell all regards to stop buying shit.

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REGARDED_INVESTOR t1_iujdg12 wrote

JPOW comes out dressed as Thanos. Hikes 200bps. Market drops 50% immediately. Recovers to green by EOD. JPOW resigns and says you absolute regards are on your own

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pdubbs87 t1_iujhhv1 wrote

.75 as predicted. I don't really think there's much to debate this time.

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Rhyndir t1_iujlcie wrote

Are we forgetting jacksonhole hyper hawk speech was literally 2 and a half months ago?

He said verbatim: “PAIN AND SUFFERING for the consumer and small businesses.” “20% drop in housing market.” Etc etc. HYPER HAWK.

Have we seen pain and suffering? No, the consumer is holding strong. The consumer doesn’t give a fuck right now. We give a fuck because we are paying attention, but your average 95% of Americans don’t change spending habits until it’s glaringly obviously bad.

More pain to come, 75 bps rate hike with NO change on terminal rate guidance.

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