Submitted by OBS10invest t3_z5d672 in wallstreetbets
Comments
Tadikif t1_ixw3ylj wrote
He should like 10000 just to let people panic and shit their pants.
Peelboy t1_ixvez0a wrote
Let's go!
UwUrthium t1_ixxktjr wrote
Set it to infinity bps. You borrow anything on margin immediate margin call if you have anything in a savings account you are immediately more rich than VisualMod.
nico87ca t1_ixyf2uj wrote
He could simply threaten to do it for a few months. That would cool the market without actually hurting mom and dad
Invest0rnoob1 t1_ixvjh6y wrote
Yes, and the US defaults on debt and global currencies collapse. Brilliant idea, you should be head of the fed.
Hacking_the_Gibson t1_ixvl9zi wrote
This looks good, do Core PCE next because that is the Fed's preferred gauge. If CPI tracks like this, then PCE should be a couple points in front.
Robincapitalists t1_ixvnn4g wrote
https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index-excluding-food-and-energy
Arguably hasn't peaked yet.
And even if it did. Why don't markets, investors understand the Fed uses a lot of measurements outside of inflation to determine rate policy.
Abject-Confidence-21 t1_ixwoof1 wrote
I absolutely have no idea how to read this table. Is green bad?
this_name_is_generic t1_ixyojx7 wrote
Green is good to a point. I mean they don't want to go deflationary (negative inflation) which is interesting since we have been high for so long, they only talk of getting back to a 2% target. Makes it interesting because it makes debt easier to manage for those who have it...
The way to read the table is down, if 0.3% MoM inflation comes in on November, 7.5% inflation YoY expected and the numbers below are the expected trajectory on the forward months.
Each of the columns are headed by the MoM change in inflation. It's a very rudimentary and ignoring complexities of the world forecast, but it is usually how the modelling is usually performed.
VisualMod t1_ixvbybz wrote
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Zombie-Gnomes t1_ixvg02s wrote
ELi5
kuedhel t1_ixxgxj3 wrote
someone trys to apply integration to MoM numbers. Makes very little sense to me.
grimkhor t1_ixvkenx wrote
Great work
Robincapitalists t1_ixvnfm6 wrote
Counter it's debatable if core PCE (Fed's preferred measure) has peaked.
https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index-excluding-food-and-energy
Also. The Fed rate is dependent on more than inflation target. The Fed uses a lot of data.
Tadikif t1_ixw3wng wrote
To many damn numbers, dates and colours! Keep it simple. Please resubmit this as a crayon painting!!
StrawberryWaste3012 t1_ixvdtsq wrote
This is witchcraft.
mark2talyho t1_ixves8k wrote
All this tells me is that JPow could get us back to the 2% target by April if he just grew a pair and hiked 1000 bps.