Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

PharmDinvestor t1_ixnsdek wrote

Technical Analysts are telling you SPY is in a downtrend and will hit 340. When you ask them what happens after 340 , you get a response like 🤷‍♂️… the with all the data and lines they draw , then don’t even know what direction SPY goes …. Anytime SPY break 400, they will come out and say we have to test the lows . My question to all TA… why do we have to test the lows ?

1

nvanderw t1_ixo16tm wrote

Because PE ratio for spy is still historically too high?

3

PharmDinvestor t1_ixq08y5 wrote

Historically high? Who said PE should be pegged at a specific point ? So are you telling me that the PE for the year 2100 should basically be in line with PE of 1962 ?

1

nvanderw t1_ixqh63y wrote

Sorry didn't realize I was speaking to a regard. You belong here! Keep buying tsla

1

Gohstfacekila t1_ixotjdi wrote

Because of supply and demand basically, you want to see steady growth not volatile growth, if we keep pushing up with no retracement eventually it will whiplash back down harder than it went up. Why is that, from what I understand supply zones basically mean smart money wants to sell in that zone, so when the price hits a supply zone it will typically start to reject unless their is a catalyst to drive it further, when demand zones are hit big buys come in from smart money. Now back to why we need to go back and forth up and down. It’s not so much of testing lows as it is testing support and resistance, once we break a resistance of importance we should in a healthy stock movement go down to retest the resistance and see if it is still a strong demand zone to bounce off of. If it bounces it is confirmed to be demand zone and support. If it breaks back down well then it’s not support it was a fake break and it’s still resistance. Also gap fills up and down are based on building the right structure which is also why we need to test support and resistances on retracement because if a gap is left empty there is a chance of it being filled later and this could cause a lot of volatility if it fills later rather than sooner so smart money will tend to fill those gaps quickly imo.

3

Confident_Abroad4984 OP t1_ixp2aq0 wrote

Well the Feb fed meeting will occur just days after the bottom here and I’d expect if we are back at 340, the Fed will be either doing 0.25 or potentially even pause - both of which would be big moves upwards off the bottom

2