Submitted by Fatherthinger t3_z619s2 in wallstreetbets

It seems like an eternity ago, but it's just been a year.

At this time in 2021, the Nasdaq Composite

had just peaked, doubling since the early days of the pandemic. Rivian's

blockbuster IPO was the latest in a record year for new issues. Hiring was booming and tech employees were frolicking in the high value of their stock options.

Twelve months later, the landscape is markedly different.

Not one of the 15 most valuable U.S. tech companies has generated positive returns in 2022. Microsoft

has shed roughly $700 billion in market cap. Meta's

market cap has contracted by over 70% from its highs, wiping out over $600 billion in value this year.

In total, investors have lost roughly $7.4 trillion, based on the 12-month drop in the Nasdaq.

Interest rate hikes have choked off access to easy capital, and soaring inflation has made all those companies promising future profit a lot less valuable today. Cloud stocks have cratered alongside crypto.

There's plenty of pain to go around. Companies across the industry are cutting costs, freezing new hires, and laying off staff. Employees who joined those hyped pre-IPO companies and took much of their compensation in the form of stock options are now deep underwater and can only hope for a future rebound.

IPOs this year slowed to a trickle after banner years in 2020 and 2021, when companies pushed through the pandemic and took advantage of an emerging world of remote work and play and an economy flush with government-backed funds. Private market darlings that raised billions in public offerings, swelling the coffers of investment banks and venture firms, saw their valuations marked down. And then down some more.

Rivian has fallen more than 80% from its peak after reaching a stratospheric market cap of over $150 billion. The Renaissance IPO ETF, a basket of newly listed U.S. companies, is down 57% over the past year.

Read more: https://www.reddit.com/user/Fatherthinger/comments/z60q5y/techs_reality_check_how_the_industry_lost_74/

75

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VisualMod t1_ixyu2nd wrote

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^^WSB ^^Stats ^^Discord ^^BanBets ^^VoteBot ^^FAQ ^^Leaderboard ^^- ^Keep_VM_Alive >TL;DR: The tech industry has lost $7.4 trillion in market value over the past year, as interest rate hikes and inflation have taken their toll. IPOs have slowed to a trickle and companies are cutting costs, freezing new hires, and laying off staff.

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VisualMod t1_ixyu33i wrote

>This is a great article. It's really sad to see how much the tech industry has lost in value over the past year. I'm sure there are many people who are struggling because of it.

14

qwertyWarrior77 t1_ixyvdpe wrote

“The story of how market cap is a fake number and the term on paper doesn’t mean anything”

57

themiracy t1_ixyxylm wrote

Apple seems to be a major sector outlier so far. It’s off a little but not to nearly the degree of some of the others.

5

Simple-Account-2490 t1_ixz260l wrote

Boomers 401ks got wrecked because they were heavy in tech and there's no way that's going to recover in time for them to cash out before theyre dead. Does that mean these fuckers got to sell their houses? Housing crisis solved.

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dj_kaleb t1_ixz3tay wrote

RIVN is so worthless

3

Zabazooo t1_ixz723p wrote

“7.4 trillion of hocus pocus money”

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book_of_armaments t1_ixz9ii5 wrote

Money supply went way up but the amount of actual value in the economy did not. The money had to go somewhere.

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sadlifestrife t1_ixzfnf5 wrote

"Lost" lol market cap =/= money. Stock market is propped up by inflows being greater than outflows. Until you sell, the money you have in stocks is magical funny money.

16

terrybmw335 t1_ixzli90 wrote

You're saying it's time to buy?

4

Waddayanow t1_ixzmv64 wrote

How? "Stocks only go up", that's how.

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engdeveloper t1_ixzypse wrote

Market cap means nothing.

​

I read an article of a now bankrupt 3 month old startup with 3 million in sales (50 million loss) with a market cap of 2.5 billion... now 0.

7

DadMoneyGuru t1_iy026wk wrote

If you turn the chart upside down, it looks like they all rebounded from an all time low last year.

7

rRawkus t1_iy0gb6a wrote

Rivian, and likewise Tesla, are auto manufactures, not tech companies. The whole market is regarded about how these companies should be valued.

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Odd-Block-2998 t1_iy0muvz wrote

The truth: The real crash hasn't even started. img

6

HondaDAD24 t1_iy16a44 wrote

Lmfao I remember the “ RIVN to $250!!!” Crowd 😂

1

yummi_1 t1_iy1i82u wrote

Forward p/e seems to always end up being the talking point when things turn. Many of these darling companies still trade a huge forward P/E.

0

yummi_1 t1_iy1j7co wrote

Boomers have had a few bad periods if they were invested. Totally agree the best investments they ever made were in their houses. I bought my first house in late 80's for 68,000 and now that house is worth 900,000. I'm sure it will drop from there.

Income back then was around 50k a year, I make around 4x that now. So ya, owning a home back then was the way to go.

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sqgeafvfasvefvfevfsa t1_iy1naw6 wrote

Lol, you must be an idiot then and not a good programmer. Obviously all the data processing Tesla does for self driving is tech, and at the forefront of tech in general. I don’t even like Tesla, but saying it’s not a tech company doesn’t make any sense when they invented so much for ai

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rRawkus t1_iy1p4qk wrote

Right. Nothing innovative to see here. the iPhone of cars, so when the battery dies you get a new one. Planned obsolescence. I believe GM first did this, or at least admitted to doing it.

−2

rRawkus t1_iy1qu0r wrote

I'll met you in the middle, they build batteries with a computer attached, that they then manufacture in a car plant. Also, they sell them as cars to people, that buy them for transportation. The tech that goes into these cars is no better then what all the other auto manufacturers have already figured out. There is no competitive moat anymore for Tesla, or other EV startups.

0

-Hominid- t1_iy2xfvl wrote

It was never real money to begin with.

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That-Whereas3367 t1_iy32tql wrote

It is not ridiculous. Every major tech stock has an annual turnover rate greater than 100%, For AAPL it is over 1500%. So people are buying depreciating stock with new money. Unless the prices recover that money is lost forever [Because most tech stocks don't pay dividends.]

3

That-Whereas3367 t1_iy33z2o wrote

There is incredible market complacency regarding AAPL and it's supposed 'invincible' balance sheet and deep moat. In reality The fundamentals are very poor. The price/Book is 46, the debt/equality is 263% and the forward p/e is 24.

3

neothedreamer t1_iy5rp8r wrote

This is true, however people DCA into their retirement accounts will probably be sitting on those positions for decades so there will be ample time for normal growth in the underlying business and stock price.

The last 2.5 years were not normal in any way.

1