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Tandittor t1_iyfc2gy wrote

That's not how the market works. Mr. Market is forward-looking, and that is why the regards here get confused all the time when it rallies when the FOMC raise rates and CPI prints 7.7%.

You need to keep an eye on TIPS, and more importantly, the futures that track the OBFR to get an idea of what is already being priced in and then compare those data to what actually happens.

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FuckoNo5 t1_iyfdgai wrote

No one is dumping huge loads into companies who are still shrinking. That would be dumb. You wait til the bottom and then do that and with the fed saying everything borrowed is getting even more expensive the bottom is clearly not here. By a long shot.

When the fed stops raising the rates they won't just be dropping them after we reach the goal. They will hold them there for several years.

The fed is the printer but it doesn't just print those dollars to give. They are loaned and the fed is calling the debt now. It will take years of high internet loans to pay back the enormous amount we borrowed from it over the last decade.

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Tandittor t1_iyfehr3 wrote

Never said the bottom was in.

But why are you bothering with daily and hourly moves if the bottom is what you're chasing?

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