Submitted by [deleted] t3_zzcgeb in wallstreetbets
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VisualMod t1_j2ar3wh wrote
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^^Discord ^^BanBets ^^VoteBot ^^FAQ ^^Leaderboard ^^- ^^Keep_VM_Alive >TL;DR: 2023 will be the year of unemployment as the main driver of inflation.
[deleted] OP t1_j2at5rk wrote
[deleted]
BreakfastOnTheRiver t1_j2atkmp wrote
The risk free rate is what matters now.
DieselAndPucks t1_j2auk3h wrote
70% large recession, 30% inflation cycle. All depends on Q1. If the economy holds, unemployment stays low and raises keep coming, it might be the 70-80s again which would be very bullish for markets.
whoisthelogos t1_j2autvg wrote
Unemployment needs to increase that's the only way feds will slow down rates.
If unemployment remains low rates will come in aggressive then crash occurs
zabi_01 t1_j2av52p wrote
there are more people bullish today than there were 6 months ago, yet markets dropped. Could go either way, place your bets
WeEatBabies t1_j2ayvvq wrote
What if, hear me out, we get the soft landing we were promised, because, hear me out, the job market is still strong and GDP is on the rise and prices have stabilized.
​
In any case, I'm not buying calls nor puts, I'll just keep buying discounted stocks if it keeps going down.
I know I barely belong here.
Invest0rnoob1 t1_j2b15n4 wrote
You will get rich while everyone is waiting for “lower prices”.
VisualMod t1_j2ar4iz wrote
>It is far too obvious that the market is due for a correction. The world's largest bank has suggested that there is a 75% chance of a recession, and analysts are still saying that it could happen within the next 12 to 24 months. It is clear that we are already past the point where a recession was supposed to happen, and yet nothing has happened. This can only mean one thing: the market will soon correct itself, and those who have been waiting for a crash will finally get their wish.