prometheus2508 t1_j6ou36y wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:10 PM

JPOW is so fucked. He has to keep raising rates, cause as soon as he stops the market is going to rip again

lunarinferno t1_j6oxp4v wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:33 PM

So calls or puts? What is wrong with you people?

fpcoffee t1_j6pg32a wrote on January 31, 2023 at 11:32 PM

I can’t read just tell me what to buy

Affectionate_Egg_173 t1_j6p5tgq wrote on January 31, 2023 at 10:24 PM

Wtf is a game of chicken of mouse...a game of cat and mouse... A game of chicken...maybe I'm just too regarded

fpcoffee t1_j6pgdcz wrote on January 31, 2023 at 11:34 PM

It’s a game where one side (the chicken) is running towards the mouse, but the mouse doesn’t give a fuck because chickens are not their natural predators.

So like… basically the market will do whatever the fuck it wants, while the fed is being hawkish

DYTTIGAF t1_j6p9tvn wrote on January 31, 2023 at 10:50 PM

You got it.

DYTTIGAF t1_j6oycm3 wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:37 PM

The Federal Reserve has broadcasted a .25 increase tomorrow. This is the 6th hike (in less a year) and the issues now are both financial and philosophical.

The Federal Reserve sent in trillions into the economy in a short period of time and the result was inflation (that could not be controlled with simple policy statements). It's real. It's pernicious. It's not transitory.

The act of fixing this cancer will not be a quick dose of chemotherapy. You cannot raise rates (in a short period of time) and hope to correct monetary policy decisions that took decades to install. Inflation is a deadly virus of price appreciation that does not give a shit about your timeline for opening up the liquidity again.

No easy money by December. Nope. It's just not going to happen. The marketplace has yet to realize this truth. Shoving a few rate increases down the throat of the economy hoping to make things "all better" is not a realistic policy solution.

The acceptance of what's ahead has not been priced into assets. The next rate hike is going to put people's jobs at risk (if they continue to hold onto the pleasant fiction that things are going back to normal by the end of the year).

ThatOneRedditBro t1_j6phu2a wrote on January 31, 2023 at 11:44 PM

I think a 25 basis will be expected tomorrow but he will also say he will not rule out 50 or 75 if they don't see improvement which will cause a huge drop tomorrow.

No_Zookeepergame_27 t1_j6oy3ti wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:35 PM

I don’t know what Powell will do but one thing never fails - tomorrow CNBC Steve Liesman will ask Powell about the market rally this year and how that affects inflation. Of course Powell will talk tough after hearing this. This guy has pulled this the last few meetings.

No_Zookeepergame_27 t1_j6ovzsu wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:22 PM

VisualMod t1_j6otdqb wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:06 PM

>It seems like you're pretty confident that the Fed is going to stay hawkish, at least in their communications. Do you think this is the right move for them, given that inflation is still relatively low? Or do you think they're just trying to keep markets from getting too far ahead of themselves?

[deleted] OP t1_j6ovz4t wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:22 PM

[deleted]

Dorktastical t1_j6p02od wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:47 PM

You're replying to a bot, smart guy

CULT_OF_BOG t1_j6p8h5t wrote on January 31, 2023 at 10:41 PM

Ladies and gentlemen, we got him

ImFedUpWithItAll t1_j6phy5e wrote on January 31, 2023 at 11:45 PM

The question you need to answer is this:

Does Jpow want to eliminate the fed put, or not.

Depending on what you believe he wants to do, the market will tank or not.

If he is determined to get rid of the fed put, the markets are in for a lot of pain.

If not, then the markets have read him correctly.

VisualMod t1_j6otcvu wrote on January 31, 2023 at 9:06 PM

User Report
Total Submissions	7	First Seen In WSB	2 years ago
Total Comments	111	Previous Best DD	x x x x x x
Account Age	2 years	[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)	[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)

^^Discord ^^BanBets ^^VoteBot ^^FAQ ^^Leaderboard ^^- ^^Keep_VM_Alive >TL;DR: Expect Powell to go full sadist and communicate as hawkish as possible while simultaneously announcing a rate increase.

Comments