fenriswulfwsb t1_j6giiwa wrote on January 30, 2023 at 3:48 AM

Reply to comment by mlamping in Short days to cover for the past year by mlamping

The hopium is even suggesting a 0-Bps is on the table for this meeting.

fuglysc t1_j6gjjyr wrote on January 30, 2023 at 3:57 AM

And for suggesting we will rally more with a 0.25 rate hike...as if it isn't already priced in 😂

Wouldn't put it past market to go up another couple of %...but these bulls are getting greedy

mlamping OP t1_j6gmybb wrote on January 30, 2023 at 4:25 AM

0.25 follows the thesis of a wait and see for next hike, meaning no increase next time. And also validates that possibility that they’ve hiked to high to fast, and that we may need to reverse course.

Just one of the hypotheticals.

This isn’t coming from me, or just out of thin air. Not sure why you wsb regards all pile on the same beliefs. This is just different data points to act upon.

Also, even burry believes this, that they’ll reverse course and cut, and possibly cause a double recession and inflation

fuglysc t1_j6gp7os wrote on January 30, 2023 at 4:45 AM

LoL...0.25 is priced in ok?

0.25 has been priced in for quite a long time...you'd know this if you paid attention to the fedwatch meter at CME

What isn't priced in is if Powell said they are pausing after this 0.25 hike....if that happened, then markets would be likely to rally further

And dipshit...don't refer to us as "WSB regards" when you're here spouting shit too...do you think you're some sort of messiah amongst us heathen? Lol...you posting your theories or DD or whatever the fuck you choose to post in this subreddit means you're a WSB regard like the rest of us

mlamping OP t1_j6gpcno wrote on January 30, 2023 at 4:46 AM

I’m a regard as well.

But don’t label my shit hopium. It’s just a chart. F off

fuglysc t1_j6gpzyg wrote on January 30, 2023 at 4:52 AM

LoL...your shit IS hopium

Look at your original post...you mentioned there was a possibility of no rate hike

There is absolutely no possibility of no rate hike

It's 25 basis points...ok? Next time, use the CME Fed watch monitor

toeofcamell t1_j6i1y9j wrote on January 30, 2023 at 2:11 PM

I say a 50 basis rate hike is coming, everybody is going to freak out and the market will dip

wlidebeest1 t1_j6l5hwk wrote on January 31, 2023 at 2:29 AM

99% of DD posted on wsb is hopium.

mlamping OP t1_j6gnv4f wrote on January 30, 2023 at 4:33 AM

Why do you guys use that word. Read a book.

It’s not hopium, its based on the possible distribution of the feds fund rate.

Anything is on the table, even 0.5, thr tool shows .25 is highly likely but the sys dev actually puts 0 on the table more so than 0.5

https://www.atlantafed.org/cenfis/market-probability-tracker