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pegunless t1_j6k1pms wrote

This time the same reporter has been signaling 25

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Dorktastical t1_j6k9s38 wrote

Nick Timiraos's twitter is where this information comes out, I don't disagree that it is likely to be 25bp but I see a lot of signs that we should be expecting 50bp. He's tweeting about Brainard's recent speeches and about how inflation hasn't proven itself to have stabilized.

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pegunless t1_j6kg545 wrote

Previously he outright stated 25, I'm taking those statements as justification for continuing on that path. At this point if they were considering 50 I think you'd see him state "50 is a real possibility". The Fed really dislikes surprising the markets.

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