Dorktastical t1_j6k9s38 wrote on January 30, 2023 at 10:42 PM

Reply to comment by pegunless in 50 Basis Point Hike - This Wednesday - Write it down by MogamboKushhua468

Nick Timiraos's twitter is where this information comes out, I don't disagree that it is likely to be 25bp but I see a lot of signs that we should be expecting 50bp. He's tweeting about Brainard's recent speeches and about how inflation hasn't proven itself to have stabilized.

pegunless t1_j6kg545 wrote on January 30, 2023 at 11:25 PM

Previously he outright stated 25, I'm taking those statements as justification for continuing on that path. At this point if they were considering 50 I think you'd see him state "50 is a real possibility". The Fed really dislikes surprising the markets.