Submitted by Codenameice t3_10pazzv in wallstreetbets

VXX pre Covid, pre Ukraine war, etc hovered between $200 and $60. Currently at $12. My high level view of the world is we are fucked and therefore VXX should be higher. Buying call options.

Agree?

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jr1tn t1_j6jersp wrote

This post reveals a true WSB-level understanding of the structure of this ETF.

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RoundTableMaker t1_j6jh4ps wrote

I keep seeing people say buy the vix while its cheap. It's driving me nuts, I dont have time to correct this many people.

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jr1tn t1_j6ji1vj wrote

Maybe create a "bot" and spend less time making round tables?

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Waddayanow t1_j6jj5w9 wrote

Your view is high level regarded. VXX is expected to fall by design. It is the reason why it is not recommended to be held long-term. Do not compare its historical prices to current ones and conclude that the market is complacent.

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Codenameice OP t1_j6jlskj wrote

Thank you. I am glad you hold my view in high regard!

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kholdstayr t1_j6jd532 wrote

I like this idea, but how far out are you going with the expiration?

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Codenameice OP t1_j6jdtff wrote

Will report back once I’ve made a decision.

Planning on making the call on my gut feeling but I welcome any actual real analysis by anyone smarter than I

Edit: The 2025 spreads are fucked. Prob jan 2024

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PrognosticatorShadow t1_j6jkj4g wrote

You don't understand this ETF lol

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Codenameice OP t1_j6jlo5r wrote

I though that was clear based on my analysis…..

I’ll dumb it down a bit further next time to ensure there is no missing the point that I know nothing. But I trust my gut.

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Remarkable_World_351 t1_j6ls00a wrote

I had the same thought then did some research. If you think it will spike short term (days or week) this might be an okay play but long term you get fucked. This one has reverse split multiple times to stop it from hitting zero so previous highs are misleading. It tracks vix futures by buying close to expiring options and is constantly rolling them over and constantly loosing value. If you buy for a year out you may get lucky and have it spike due to a nuke being dropped in Ukraine or us defaulting on debt but otherwise zero chance this is worth more in a year vs now even if vix stays elevated this will go up momentarily then slowly bleed back to zero. By design this ETN looses value long term regardless of what the vix does

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Maskedbandittrader t1_j6klr6g wrote

Yes I expect a pop on vxx but for a trade only . Get in get out

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crusaderactual777 t1_j6jckoi wrote

I can't follow, not enough rocket ships, diamonds, and moons

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Codenameice OP t1_j6jcv8i wrote

Step 1. Earth go 💥🔥

Step 2. …….

Step 3. Profit 🌕🚀

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