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didimao11B t1_j9eo85l wrote

Reply to comment by Blindman213 in Belarus claims Ukraine army groups have massed at border, risking its security by WickedSlice_

This is the mentality that got Ukraine side swiped to begin with so don’t be complacent.

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Blindman213 t1_j9ep44a wrote

I get where your coming from. I am basing this on ISW's continued threat assessment of Belarus entering the war. Those guys are far more competent than I am at guessing this stuff.

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adashko997 t1_j9frz05 wrote

The ISw has made some bad predictions throughout this year (Bakhmut most importantly) but overall they've been a fantastic place to stay up to date

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trelium06 t1_j9gyqe7 wrote

In their defense, predicting unforced errors is impossible. They looked at the available info and rightly presumed a competent leader would have captured Bakhmut. Alas, Wagner lacks such competence.

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didimao11B t1_j9fdnqw wrote

100% fair and valid ty for the clarification.

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