>also the war is pretty much a stalemate right now, ukraine isn’t really “kicking ass” they’ve just got 30+ billion in artillery and overhead support which slowly halts Russia’s advances

Technically speaking - as long as Russia is not winning it means it's losing. If your offensive war comes to a halt and 950 soldiers today just turned into minced meat for NOTHING then you can't keep it up forever. You need territorial gains because you lose long term.

On the other hand if Ukraine is not losing - it's winning. They can send their new recruits for training all over Europe, they receive additional equipment over time and they are slowly but steadily bleeding Russia dry. Especially since under all the sanctions Russia finds it difficult to replace their equipment. They can throw more untrained conscripts (and they CAN'T afford to train them properly if there's a risk of Ukraine being able to break the stalemate, they need to be using them on a daily basis) into meatgrinder. But this is a very costly tactic if it doesn't lead to any major victories.

There would be no reason for Russia to block these ships. The ships are in Turkish waters.

I'm confused by all this, ra-ra-sink'em nonsense.