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topperx t1_ixtus06 wrote

Reply to comment by EyeLikeTheStonk in Western sanctions catch up with Russia’s wartime economy by BollocksAsBalls

This to me is still relatively short term. I would be even more worried about tossing your working age men into a meat grinder of death and disability and having them flee in large numbers across borders. What's left is the old and disabled. Imagine running that county in the future. I have no idea how to fix that other than import humans.

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TheThirdOutlier t1_ixtv0ta wrote

I guess that’s where the ‘adoptions’ of vast numbers of Ukrainian children come in 😥

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Accurate_Pie_ t1_ixw7hzr wrote

I cry with you

But I don’t believe those children are to be adopted. I don’t believe Russians adopt much

The children are hostages… for now… who knows what gruesome future the ruzzians plan for them

Heartbroken

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KamahlYrgybly t1_ixtwwm0 wrote

Another thing to worry about is losing your biggest trade partners for at least a few decades. So even if you magically created a new workforce and magically acquired the needed materials to produce goods, you have limited customers buying the goods, and less competition among buyers means lower prices.

It really is a fantastic shitshow to behold.

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kponomarenko t1_ixvo74e wrote

They still can sell oil and gas even during the war. So they definitely would be able to sell them after. You don't need to many people to pump them and that's major part of ruZZian economy.

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Strong_as_an_axe t1_ixwj0l9 wrote

Yes but they've sped up the movement away from fossil fuels whilst failing to build infrastructure for new industry. They should have some of the best infrastructure in the world based on commodities revenues but a huge portion of it has been stolen and then sat on rather than reinvested in Russia.

They were set for relative contraction against other major economies before all of this anyway due to long term trends away from oil and gas, awful demographics and a lack of competitiveness in other industries. Putin has just made it all a lot worse. It's insane, full of commodities and bridging Asia and Europe. Even one halfway decent leader and Russia would be a superpower.

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Skaindire t1_ixu3c13 wrote

It doesn't have to be a lot of them. Even just a small percentage will break things. We'll see it in a year at most as the pensions will be frozen while everything else goes up.

East European countries had this problem for years after joining the EU because they kept bleeding people to the wealthier ones.

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Jeneral-Jen t1_ixvi06t wrote

That might be why they have been sending disproportionately high numbers of soldiers from remote regions and ethnic minorities. Putin knows that sending a bunch of city kids is more likely to result in an uproar. Just another shade of asshole to color Putin's character.

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Accurate_Pie_ t1_ixw7aox wrote

Nah…

100 thousand men is just 0.1% of population.

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topperx t1_ixw86fi wrote

300k mobilized now. Still also a somewhat relevant part of the population since they don't mobilize old people or children, total population isn't the relevant bit unless the plan is to do child labor.

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Accurate_Pie_ t1_ixw9311 wrote

Yes, it’s important but that’s not what it’s going to topple them

Strengthening sanctions and following through is the key!

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NightsHeron t1_ixtzxjj wrote

This is only a problem if you consider the current world order to be around in a couple of decades.

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topperx t1_ixu27bl wrote

How do you see that? Either way these areas have a massive age funnel problem independent of who's running the clown car.

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Ediwir t1_ixu3lwy wrote

carbon dioxide has entered the conversation

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NightsHeron t1_ixu5w3h wrote

Don't get me wrong, I am totally with you. I have been pondering how a country can take such strategically bad decision. Personally I see only two reason:

A. Their decision makers have been neglecting their Sun Tzu and Machiavelli B. It's a "it's me against the world. Either now or never" scenario from their perspective (for whatever reason)

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Darth_Annoying t1_ixu9t8a wrote

C. The de ision makers have started believing their own self promoting proaganda, D. All of the above

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