corp_code_slinger t1_j1urs4o wrote on December 27, 2022 at 3:40 PM

Reply to comment by Most_Ruin_3005 in China stages big military incursion, Taiwan says by No_Dependent_5066

You're not wrong, but what you're describing is a reason for China to make a move now instead of later.

The problem is from China's standpoint there will probably never be a better time than now. What are they going to do, wait another couple years and give Taiwan more time to prepare, give the US more time to assist Taiwan, and give the chip ban more time to bite?

They may also be betting that the US doesn't want to deal with multiple fronts at once between assisting Ukraine and also needing to come to Taiwan's aid, even though we will because we don't have a choice until we've built up the supply chain at home.

treydayallday t1_j1xzmjs wrote on December 28, 2022 at 5:42 AM

Multiple fronts? Their aid to Taiwan would far surpass any aid provided Ukraine. They’re pulling from an incredibly deep well of funds. Their aid to Ukraine hasn’t begun to scratch the surface. Not to mention be far more likely to provide boots on the ground support to Taiwan. This wouldn’t go well for China no matter when they pulled the trigger.