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sandyfagina t1_j22x7v8 wrote

Reply to comment by macross1984 in Russia steps up Kherson shelling, dismisses Zelenskiys peace plan by Ok_bro_1

That's true, it's clearly significantly weakened. I hope that's a driver for peace talks, but that depends on what Ukraine does.

Reasons for Russia's continuance are the fresh recruits and belief that existing production can hold the current defensive lines. Which is believable considering it's been a standstill for months. Or at least, not much changes in controlled territory on either side.

I guess that non-activity is a good sign? Both sides have mentioned negotiations recently. Peace is always preferable from a human perspective.

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Puzzleheaded-Job2235 t1_j24lbro wrote

Generally the Russo Ukrainian War has had long periods of attritional fighting followed by rapid changes in territory when one side loses too many people to hold the current frontlines. So although it's a stalemate for now, things could change rapidly. Kherson was a months long slog with little signs of progress till the Russians suddenly retreated.

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sandyfagina t1_j24mpw8 wrote

They're behind the river now, which they say makes it easier for them to hold out. That was the line predicted by Dmitri Alperovitch by the way, the expert who predicted the invasion 2 months before it happened.

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Its_Just_A_Typo t1_j25zxs1 wrote

Ukraine is about to retake Kreminna, when they do, it will set up a series of dominoes falling as that cuts off crucial Ruz supply lines and then they'll lose a large part of Luhansk Oblast in one big shot.

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foobarijk t1_j23gh75 wrote

The fact that the line hasn't moved does not mean there's no activity in the front. hundreds die per day in the trenches.

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