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TrackVol t1_j6ob0es wrote

How in the world do they come up with that number?

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green_flash OP t1_j6odxjk wrote

The report summary says that they expect a further fall in trade with sanctioning countries that will however be offset by a rise in trade with non-sanctioning countries.

Developments like this are relevant I suppose: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/york-gorging-fuel-made-illicit-173455649.html

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TrackVol t1_j6oy3sm wrote

That's something I hadn't considered. Non-sactioning countries picking up some of the slack.

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