That will be available within 18 months (I'm currently wearing a tinfoil hat)

Honestly I think so. Super competent AI will accelerate all science. If we get AGI or something similar that can facilitate 100 years of scientific research in a year than yes I think we could get FDVR in the 2020s. My pipedream prediction for FDVR is 2027.

I don't accountants will exist in 5 years. Good luck - we are all in the same boat.

Honestly probably late next year (minus the last part of the movie).

All industries will have let go a good percentage of their workforce in 5-10 years. I wouldn't bet on anything. People should just do what they are interested in and hope to do it for as long as possible.

AI to the moon. Its coming. Get ready. Buckle up. Everything is doubling every couple months.

Yes. Been using the new GPT model and it's unbelievably good. Next few years a good percentage of jobs will be done by AI.

Happiness. Give me FDVR now god damnit

The growth imperative is a capitalist foundation. A company cannot survive it isn't growing even if it is profitable. The nature of competition ensures this. If the leaders of companies pursue idealistic roads they will die. Grow or die is capitalism. All companies have to grow and make money or they will lose market share and die.

More competition means better BCIs more quickly. Good to hear.

It will definitely happen in the US even if it takes longer than Europe for example. Older generations aren't dumb. They don't want their children and their grandchildren out of money. If there are really no jobs they will vote for UBI like everyone else. Politicians who embrace these changes will be enormously popular (most of them already believe in the same ideology guiding the WEF and their preparation for the technological advancements that are inevitable). Those who don't currently support these developments will change their views according to what will get them elected or they will become politically irrelevant as these changes will effect everyone from left to right.

Truly exciting!

The thing is we don't even need AGI. We just need extremely competent AI. Who knows consciousness might not be possible through computation. Transformative AI that can replace jobs and dramatically increase technological progress is literally right around the corner. When this exists society will be transformed very quickly.

Jobs probably won't be a thing in the long-term. Do whatever makes you happy and helps others in the meantime. Once a company can automate your labour for less it will do it. Hopefully we can have UBI and people can have enough money to buy what they need. Companies still need people to buy products even if labour can be cheaply automated.

This.

I thought singularity was like 30-40 years away. Was very into tech but wasn't as clued into AI progress.

Proto-AGI next year. AGI 2025 - 2027. FDVR between 2026 -2028 (I think AGI will enable non invasive compelling BCI). Those are my predictions. I think automation will have dramatic implications from late next year and will only start having societal implications from 2024 onwards. Probably way off but still that's what I think as of now. Will probably have a different view in a couple months.

Proto-AGI next year. AGI 2025 - 2027. FDVR between 2026 -2028 (I think AGI will enable non invasive compelling BCI). Those are my predictions. I think automation will have dramatic implications from late next year and will only start having societal implications from 2024 onwards. Probably way off but still that's what I think as of now. Will probably have a different view in a couple months.

Proto-AGI possibly. AI art perfected. AI video and 3D perfected (oh and music). Gato 2. Significant advances in robotics. Experiments with BCI'S being two way and connected to AI (in the lab). Hopefully major government and media attention as to what is going to happen in the coming years.

And a hundred things we aren't expecting! Hopefully it's a good year.

Ofc it will

Magical rambling Shelfrock! What's your timeline predictions? 😈

This is awesome (I know it's been done before but produced images of very poor quality). Another step towards full dive vr is exciting no matter how many more steps to go. Hopefully we get extremely capable AI in the next year or two that can solve these problems lightening fast.

Disagree with your timeline. Think we will have a form of proto-AGI in a year or two. Then literally everything else shortly after. Probably AGI by 2025 if we are lucky. As soon as we get proto-AGI we will probably get advanced BCI's and full dive vr. Once we get that I think the next 30 years will be condensed into the next 5 or so. Ik it's a bullish timeline but I believe we are at the knee curve of exponential growth.

I disagree with your dichotomy. Humans are fundamentally irrational and emotional. It is not irrational to not be a materialist.

Some people truly love their lives. Their lives have meaning. If you're speaking exclusively about yourself then fair enough. I understand your position though it is a nihilistic philosophy that probably isn't conducive to happiness or the potential for meaning. I feel like my interest in this emerging technology and its consequences are a form of religious surrogate in the face of nihilism. I think this is the case with a lot of people in this sub.