Projection

Yeah I’m not getting the hype. There’s a bot on character.ai called Gabriel that seemed just as capable and far less restricted. I’m sure there are certain things ChatGPT can do that blow the other bot out of the water but my “holy shit” moment was definitely from my first interactions with the Gabriel bot, which kind of spoiled ChatGPT for me.

I’m worried this sub will suffer the same fate as it continues to grow. Enjoying it for now though.

The game industry has been treading water for several years now. Between Covid, ever-lengthening development cycles, and sheer corporate greed rushing out half-assed, uninspired products, it seems like we haven’t gotten any truly medium-pushing games in a good while.

I personally cannot wait for generative AI to mature and become widely adopted in gaming. When a bunch of friends can form an indie studio and basically build the games of their dreams using a fraction of the budget or developmental time that is currently required. Same for films, tv shows, anime, etc.

I can’t really get a feel on when this will happen. It sure seems like we’re still 3-5 years away from adoption at the industry-level, but all of this is moving so fast that we might have AGI building any type of game we want instantaneously within a decade. Then there’s VR on the horizon as well.

Interesting times for sure; I can’t wait to see what the latter half of this decade looks like for gamers.

Yeah that’s incredible. This will make writing legal briefs and demand letters almost effortless. The AI will even be able to analyze a police report and medical records to get the relevant information needed when drafting the demand. I cannot wait for this tech to mature, hopefully we only have a couple more years until it’s available.

I will say that whomever can release a product like this specifically trained for attorneys will be a zillionaire if they can get it to market fast enough. Wish I was more tech savvy lol…

>the next gen AI programming buddy

Can you elaborate on this? Trying to learn more about some of these advancements.

I don’t think the politicians on either side here in America want anything to do with this technology. The left views it as a few privileged elites in the tech world playing god. The Christian right views it as the end of times.

No way. The regulatory/political issues alone would kill this bullish timeline. Flying cars and nanobots in the body and household robots and a literal base on Mars in 5 years? Absolutely not.

I think OP’s conservative timeline is much more likely than this one.

Fantastic! Thank you so much for this!

This is fascinating and ultimately important work but I’d sure like to see more of a philosophical focus on pure security at this stage, given the pace of advancements we’re witnessing relative to the utter lack of security measures currently in place.

This is really refreshing. I’ve never seen this type of pessimistic, prodding sentiment on Reddit before. If only there was an entire subreddit full of millions of people like this, all discussing the future! Every fascinating advancement could be funneled into the same talking points of climate change, race, gender, and classism! Just think of everything we could accomplish with a subreddit like that, wow!!

I dunno how long you’ve been around, but there’s been an explosion in this field in the past 3-4 years. It’s markedly different from how things were in the late 2000s thru the mid-to-late 2010s.

I’m very confident that by 2050 you’ll have some serious tools to extend your healthy lifespan.

If we can do this for Achilles tendons I might actually lace up my Air Jordans for a few more years.

Most attorney jobs are gonna be super easy gigs in the handful of years before they’re automated away. I do think older folks will generally want a human attorney to walk them through things, but the day to day work outside of talking to clients and other attorneys will be a cakewalk.

I’ll visit you in your nursing home where you’ll still be on reddit in total denial

OK doomer

I’d say that’s a solid estimate.

I tend to agree, although my estimate is the 2060s for something that ambitious.

It’s a good question. Right now I think AGI happens around 2028-29. I think mass job automation will happen around that time too, potentially a couple years earlier. UBI will probably happen later, especially in the States where there’s still a “no handouts” culture with a lot of voting power. I’d say mid 2030s, with European and East Asian countries potentially early-adopting in the late 20s and early 30s.

Full Dive VR where you can fully inhabit completely realistic virtual worlds I actually think is also a bit further away. Like closer to 12-15 years. I kind of see this tracking similar to the evolution of video games, which has completely stalled out over the past half decade or so after evolving quickly through the 2010s.

That said, my timeline for all of this stuff has been virtually cut in half since I discovered this sub and started to realize how much further along we are than I thought, particular TTI advancements. So everything is subject to change and I could still be underestimating the pace…

I wonder if millennials will be the first and perhaps only generation to reverse their physical ages. I kind of want to be something like 85 years old and then take some regimen that slowly transforms me back to my 25 year old self. That would be insane to experience.

That’s fine. That’s still billions of people who will want to deal with human lawyers.

If you’re in a car wreck and the insurance company offers you $50K for $300K worth of damage are you just going to call an AI out of the blue? Who will operate the AI law firm? Who will be licensed to help you?

I agree that in time everything will be automated away but the comment I initially responded to argues this is happening to attorneys in a few years. No way in hell. Try 15-20 years.

These catastrophes aren’t going to happen in time doomerbro. Tech bros hunting for food in 2045? Not a chance. Worst case scenario, where everything you say happens, rich people will simply move to habitable areas and continue right along while the rest of us get fucked. As always the rich will survive and they’ll employ the best minds to continue striving for LEV, AGI, ASI, and the rest. You think wealthy elites don’t have alternatives in motion for every single thing you’re suggesting?

Your best bet is a Covid variant that kills 80 percent of the people it infects. Even then people will adapt, survive, and keep innovating.

Long term I’m not downplaying what you’re saying. I agree with a lot of it. I just don’t think it’s going to destroy our world before these advancements get here. I also am not sure why these tools wouldn’t solve a lot of the problems you bring up.

They won’t though. Every single person born before I’d say 2010 is already adapted to a world where there isn’t this tech. The blue collar worker who gets in a car wreck is going to want to talk to a human being. That’s not gonna change anytime soon regardless of the advancements.

And yet your quality of life is objectively better than it would have been 100 years ago. And you are objectively safer from harm. More educated. More free-thinking and independent. Free to express extreme dissent publicly. Able to connect with people all over the world. Statistically you will live much longer. Etc.

Who do you have to thank for all that? Who do you have to thank for the fact that no one can stroll into your house and take whatever they want and do whatever they want with you, free of consequence? The forests? Polar bears? Seems like you’re a thoroughbred doomer who shits all over humanity from the vantage and safety that humanity has afforded you.

Also why wouldn’t a super intelligence be able to solve those issues? How specifically will technological progress towards said superintelligence be thwarted in the next 50 years?

Things are better than they’ve ever been in human history bud. Unironically get off social media for a while