DiscussTek
DiscussTek t1_jaf4l4q wrote
Reply to ELI5: In math - when we say the probability of something occurring over “infinite” time is 1, does that not completely ignore intervening events that cause the probability to be 0. by Mikiemax80
This premise, especially given then examples in the body, is not even what we mean when we talk about a probability becoming 1 given infinite time.
In mathemathics, a 0 multiplied by anything, usually only results to 0, so for this fact to be true, there has to be at least some chance of it to happen.
This complete issue with your question being resolved, let's talk about probabilities. When calculating the probabilty of an event X to happen after a given amount of "tries", it is much easier to talk in terms of "how likely is it not to happen." as it is just shorter math to the same result.
When testing twice for a same probability, given you're only trying to get it to happen once, you multiply the odds of it by themselves. So, if something had a 10% chance to happen, it has a 90% chance not to happen, and when you try twice, it's 0.9 x 0.9, which is 0.81. It is lower than the original odds. If you try three times, for it not to happen at all would be 0.9 x 0.9 x 0.9, which is 0.729.
Then, to get the odds of it happening once, you get 1 - [the odds of it not happening]. Using my example, the odds of it happening once in two tries is then 0.19, or in three tries, it would be 0.271.
This trend of it getting lower and lower is what gets the odds of it never happening infinitely closer to 0, and thus the odds of it happening, given it has a chance to happen, AND infinite time, is always virtually 1.
DiscussTek t1_ja9hnja wrote
Reply to comment by Truestorydreams in Playing Metroid Prime on the old 'Cube. I can't wait for the remaster on the Switch! 🤓🎮 by Mayernator87
It most definitely isn't that price tag, no.
DiscussTek t1_ja7jxo7 wrote
Reply to comment by goretishin in What game remake would you buy Day 1 and play it to death? by [deleted]
Syphon Filter remake with more modern controls and (hopefully) at least one voice actor replaced to make the character at least sound French instead of bad French accent from a Quebecer would be great.
DiscussTek t1_je15dxg wrote
Reply to eli5 what’s the probability/percentage of winning bingo games? by [deleted]
A very big issue with this thing, is that bingo isn't exactly a single-player "game". Someone will win, the question is who will win first. Or rather, who gets the luckiest the fastest.