DungeonsAndDradis t1_jb5ek3g wrote

According to history, this will only accelerate (towards extinction, I think).

To answer your question, the only thing that would slow down AI research is a large scale, civilization-affecting issue. Massive meteor strike. Deadly plague. Nuclear war. CME (coronal mass ejection) that takes us back to the 1800s.


DungeonsAndDradis t1_jar5rum wrote

Some massive venture capital firm uses their army of 3.5 million manual labor robots to build power plants and connect up those remote areas with power, water, and internet, all for the low, low price of 2% of the country's GDP forever. For an extra 1% of GDP they'll let you run the systems using their proprietary AI workforce. It'll be the "set it and forget it" of utilities infrastructure.


DungeonsAndDradis t1_ja7pcps wrote

Those layoffs weren't from AI, though. They were from recession and inflation fears.

My CEO did say that this year and next "we'll have to do more with less", so I think if we don't start using AI tools now, we'll be left behind.


DungeonsAndDradis t1_ja376m6 wrote

Most of this subreddit (I apologize for generalizing) thinks that artificial super intelligence will either be a genie or an oracle.

A genie will just do whatever we ask, without limitations.

"Build me a house on this remote mountain with full power, gas, and running water."

<Genie does nano-fabrication magic and poofs a house into existence.>

An oracle will answer all of our questions, without doing anything itself (imagine ChatGPT times 10,000,000,000,000).

"We need a way to travel independently between the stars."

<Oracle invents hyper-long-range teleportation, and explains in detail how to build it.>


DungeonsAndDradis t1_j9ew7g5 wrote

There were similar discussions when Sniper Elite 5 came out. All of the Nazi soldiers had back stories. You could view a little blurb about them by focusing on them for a few seconds.

Some were "Hanz was too rough with prisoners, so they put him on guard duty" and some were "Franz wants to get out of the war and go raise dogs".

Players were saying "I view everyone, and kill the bad guys." And some said "They're all Nazis, they're all bad guys." And some said "Some of them were conscripted in to the war."

But at the end of the day, they're Nazis, so they get a bullet in the brain.


DungeonsAndDradis t1_j6fy0be wrote

Yeah, I do the $49.99 monthly subscription. It lets me access up to 15 subreddits, and I can give out 150 upvotes, and 25 downvotes. I'm also allowed to post up to 10 submissions a month, and comment 100 times. This comment is costing me something like 7 cents. They don't really break it down by "each submission costs x" or "each upvote costs x". It's all rolled into the monthly fee.


DungeonsAndDradis t1_j5wyty7 wrote

I think, trying to understand their point of view (the translation company), that they are saying language is the basis for all Human advances.

And by learning all of our language, the AI instantly knows everything Humanity knows.

Imagine if you are a world class doctor, best surgeon in existence. And you also happen to be the world's most effective lawyer. Oh, and also the top philosopher alive. And an absolute genius at war.

That's what an AI becomes by mastering Human language.

Again, I just think that's what their point of view is.


DungeonsAndDradis t1_j5viivl wrote

I hate to break it to you, but it's already here. Bots have been used to write articles for years, and bots run rampant on sites like Facebook, Twitter, and Reddit.

And they're good. Most bots are indistinguishable from a standard user.

And they're only going to get better and cheaper.

It's very easy to control the narrative when you've got an army of bots posting articles, posting comments, etc.


DungeonsAndDradis t1_j52px80 wrote

Well...<pushes glasses up into firing position>

  1. Kurzweil's main shtick is The Law of Accelerating Returns. Basically, technological advances are coming more and more quickly. For example, it took Humanity like 200,000 years to develop the steam engine, and then 200 more to go to the moon.

  2. 2022 was a ballistic year for AI advances, from nearly every company that is researching it. PaLM, Lambda, Gato, DALLE-2, ChatGPT. These tools are revolutionary advances in AI.

  3. Following the Law of Accelerating Returns, 2023 should be major leaps in AI, and then again in 2024, and by 2025 things should be bonkers.

My layman's guesstimate is that the next major architectural design is going to happen this year. Much like transformers accelerated AI research in 2017. One or two more major architecture pivots leads us to AGI.

It's only going to get weird from here!