There is gonna be a major pump after the RS as the number of shares will make pumping viable again.

After that it'll drop like a stone in the dump phase again.

We are nowhere near a bank bottom.

Feeling QT, might ease later

Your risk is with every man and his dog announcing they are offering AI in their shitty products, which immediately translates to 'nvda profits' in all the brains of idiots because, of course, it means they will be spending yuuuuge money on nvda cards..

That's, unfortunately, how people think, and every time some Tom dick and Harry mentions AI nvda can run up.

I do agree with you, just stating what can trip up the thesis.

The question you need to answer is this:

Does Jpow want to eliminate the fed put, or not.

Depending on what you believe he wants to do, the market will tank or not.

If he is determined to get rid of the fed put, the markets are in for a lot of pain.

If not, then the markets have read him correctly.

OK, good plan.

If the price starts going down, the margin req for your puts will increase.

Hence my question, at what price move do you run out of margin and your broker starts liquidating your position?

Unless, of course all your cash is exactly the potential value of being assigned.

What's the % move that will get you liquidated?

Fed said 0.25 Jpow said 0.25 They said 0.25 again and again

Wsb: 0.50 next week, guaranteed!

Mmmmmk

When tesla says self driving it means self driving, so stop trying to steer. If you keep trying it will just pop out the steering wheel to make you stop interfering. It's by design.

(don't quote me)

Well, inflation is dropping there so we should go all in Venezuela equities right??

That's how all those saying this is the bottom of spy sound to the rest of us.

Supply and demand.

Think of the fed rate as the msrp.

What a dumb statement.

Everyone IS trying to change the future by doing all sort of things, big and small. That's all we are actively doing when we go about our daily lives. Making decisions hoping we can influence our future, a lot of them conscious ones.

As for the time travel, obviously knowing how the present transpired you can think what you could have done differently, and try to change that.

For the future, noone is thinking "oh yeah, I'm doing things that will destroy me" and keeps doing them.

That pseudo philosophical statement is so bad.. So, so bad..

And yet fertilizer stocks suck balls.

The only fucking industry that managed to lose put from the war in Ukraine, which should have made them print dollars all day.