JMLobo83

JMLobo83 t1_j6ljuw6 wrote

No foreign power has ever successfully occupied Afghanistan afaik. The Chinese will be the next to try due to insane mineral wealth but it's going to be hard to extract and process the ore.

The West did topple Saddam fairly easily but it's important to remember that "Iraq" as we know it is an historical fiction invented by the British and composed of various different peoples with little in common. The Shiites identify with Iran, the Sunnis with the Sauds, then you've got various other peoples. Iran probably benefitted the most of anyone from Saddam's removal because he loved killing Iranians. The Kurds benefitted. Any benefit to Western states was clearly outweighed by the extraordinary cost involved.

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JMLobo83 t1_j6lifin wrote

The "first wave" left when he first instituted the draft, the second wave left when it became apparent that Russia was losing and the war could drag on for years and economic stagnation was assured.

There's no question Russia is suffering a talent and wealth drain, but that's still estimated to be around 1,000,000 or so out of a total population of around 145,000,000, so less than 1% estimated have fled due to the war. Probably more than that will die or be injured in the war before it's over.

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