JoshuaZ1

JoshuaZ1 t1_jd3r61e wrote

My apologies. I thought we were discussing things in the context of the sort of timeline constructed by the OP. I agree that it will eventually happen, and 30 years sounds like a potentially plausible time frame.

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JoshuaZ1 t1_jd3q68h wrote

You are I think underestimating how many different machines this would involve, and how difficult clean up is of some things, like broken glass, vomit etc. Even if you can do every single part with a machine, the cost of doing all of them together with separate machines is high. Where machines may make a difference is in larger bars with multiple bar tenders. A single bar tender with some machines will likely be cheaper than a bar with three people, and still more practical than full automation.

Do you want to revisit this question in a few years. Do you want to continue this conversation in say 5 years and see how common fully automated bars are then and where the trends are?

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JoshuaZ1 t1_jd3kdju wrote

> You don't need to rebuild a bar to have a machine that can pour drinks and move them down to you.

Sure, if all the machine is going to do is that, then yes. But a bar-tender does a lot more than that. They clean up spills, they collect change, they move seats around, they clean up at the end of the day, etc.

If we are talking about just machines to do some aspects of mix drinking and serving, then I agree that this is not that involved. But there is a lot more which is part of the job.

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JoshuaZ1 t1_jd2uuf0 wrote

This only works when is actively making new buildings or homes. The amount of time that takes is massive. The vast majority of bars and homes are not going to get rebuilt in that short a period of time.

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JoshuaZ1 t1_jd0czjl wrote

That is one of the bits here I would be most skeptical of. We're getting really good at text based and data based AI systems. But robotics which require operating in the unpredictable and complicated physical world are still progressing slowly.

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JoshuaZ1 t1_j9my2s4 wrote

This is a very neat TIL.

The article is really good too. One part that jumped out from it was how much Senator Richard McCarthy was responsible for revealing how much of a chemical weapons program the US had. Almost seems like a shame that we so much remember the other McCarthy and so much less so this one.

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JoshuaZ1 t1_j5bryem wrote

I agree with your central point but I'm not sure when you say:

> If all of a sudden some new and different breed of dog appeared people would understand it was a dog, a CV model would not.

I'd be interested in testing this. Might be interesting to train it on dog recognition on some very big data set and deliberately leave one or two breeds out and then see how well it does.

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