Agree on principles and current hyper growth companies time horizon from the 99 peak hype bubble to the incredible life changing tech we have today. Netflix took 25 years to become an under appreciated behemoth of content creation and the established cable industry + Hollywood scoffed at its mailback DVD business back then.. they are now investing a billion in creating a Hollywood of the east in NJ… but it still took them 25 years.

My guess is this is actually a good timeline to go by for true change as the established players die / retire out of the position of power they hold today.

Always remember that just because money means so much to everyone that doesn’t have “enough” it starts to become more and more meaningless the less of it you need. Power and control over shaping things to your vision of how they “should be” means way more to the decision makers signing the POs. They are more interested in keeping things the way it suits their lifestyle than disrupting their lives.

Saying that Human art is dead is like saying horses should be extinct because we have cars. On a fundamental level they really have nothing to do with each other. Another example is saying we shouldn’t need skilled carpenters because we can 3D print houses or use prefabricated manufacturing.

Now, in terms of going in to art as a professional career to sustain a family and make a living… that’s really no different than trying to become a professional athlete or a movie star. The passion (and at times connections and genetics) needs to be there.

Your professional work doesn’t have to be something that you “love” or even feel passionate about. In fact I’d argue it makes it easier to disconnect from work if you’re not passionate about it. Keep art as a hobby if you’re passionate about it.

AI hype train is full steam right now and given how long technology has taken to proliferate globally (iPhone I would say has only in the past few years reached full saturation) AI will still need to be adopted and used by all the humans that first need to find a killer app for it. Right now it’s shaping up to be the next level up in google search / an incredible digital assistant. Amplifying productivity and capabilities of professionals in multiple fields. AI won’t take a job today; AI + a human most definitely will start to.

Long story short, it’s way early and you’re young. Think more on what you would actually see yourself doing for the next 5 years. Adapt to the world accordingly after that time assuming anything has truly changed.

UBI in terms the of basic human needs. Shelter, 3 meals, healthcare covered completely with access to more than just the bare minimum. I’m less sure on simply handing out cash. People need some sort of purpose so incentives for people to be rewarded for contributing something of value to other humans besides themselves is needed. People who don’t have purpose but have enough money to not work tend to end up on the batshit side of humanity (obsessing over anything that makes them feel needed in some capacity)

This is an under estimated response to slowing the progress of all of this. People from the boomer generation are still widely in control of these companies and the government. Even if the technology comes as fast as it seems to be there will be severe resistance from the generation that’s in control. They aren’t interested in money as much as they are in power / control (because they know what’s good for others wether the “others” believe it or not) and self importance to feel like they have a purpose.

Hard to put timelines on this stuff but the reality is people who have lived a 40+ year successful career will likely need to die off rather than change their minds and accept a new paradigm.

That’s why when we imagine the future we imagine it from our perspective and our lived experiences rather than an entirely different society than we have today.