Rogermcfarley

Rogermcfarley t1_j0bmgpx wrote

I'm a strong advocate of technology. I'd rather have working fusion technology, machine learning that will help us create better scientific studies and unravel the vast complexity of human biology so we can treat more health issues. Technology that creates sustainable consumerism and technology that eliminates the need to deforest the rain forests, to stop using flourinated gasses and nitrogen based fertilisers. If that means my kettle doesn't boil in 5 seconds that's the sacrifice I'll gladly make.

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Rogermcfarley t1_izze0gq wrote

I asked it to write a function in Lua to create a Mandelbrot fractal. It seemed to do that well enough. I think functionally it's better for creating new code than troubleshooting existing code. The rate of progress is staggering with machine learning so we're still in the nascent stages. 10 years from now the world will be unrecognisable considering how much better machine learning will be.

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Rogermcfarley t1_iyn5p47 wrote

That's something that is unknown. The current machine learning models it's already and has been for quite a few years unknown how the algorithms are working and it's also unknown how the data is being used by the models.

https://www.technologyreview.com/2017/04/11/5113/the-dark-secret-at-the-heart-of-ai/

At some point the singularity will happen and then it's predicted things change in ways we can't predict or maybe even control. Currently not at AGI level yet so ASI is some way off. Anyway Two papers on YouTube shows the almost weekly progress of machine learning. Currently I don't know of any artificial intelligence that is ratified as intelligent so currently I refer to it as machine learning.

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Rogermcfarley t1_ixyi2cc wrote

There are rules about % of GDP allocated to military resources and corruption neither of which Ukraine can fulfill. There's no fast tracking Ukraine into NATO it will take time and there's zero chance whilst this war is going on as they can't fulfill their NATO obligations and it would bring NATO in to direct conflict with Russia.

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Rogermcfarley t1_iwkw18r wrote

Still a long way to go before mass adoption. I don't see the value in EVs yet apart from the driving experience and possible form savings cost (only if you can charge at home). Great if you can charge at home. The cheapest EV in the UK is the MG5 at £25995. That's just way too much for many people to afford. Used prices are still very high. Battery tech and charging are getting better. The infrastructure is still poor.

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Rogermcfarley t1_iu49usi wrote

Iron Dome was never invented to shoot down ICBMs and it has no chance against Hypersonic missiles. It gets even more difficult now that Hypersonic missiles exist. Hypersonic missiles have a much shallower trajectory. The best time to intercept an ICBM is immediately after launch or as it is on final descent. ICBMs have counter measures and also dummy warheads so all warheads need targeting and destroying. Anyway your main point stands if there was technology to eliminate ICBMs USA. UK and Europe would have ended this war already.

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Rogermcfarley t1_ise9u8o wrote

First Science needs to understand sleep far better than it does already. It seems absurd to try and vastly reduce sleep when it's not fully understood. So you're talking about something that is many decades away unless huge biochemical research breakthroughs are made.

https://www.spring.org.uk/2013/11/hidden-caves-in-the-brain-open-up-during-sleep-to-wash-away-toxins.php

We don't yet have the power to reduce sleep requirement to just 2 or 3 hours. We don't understand all the mechanisms behind sleep and all of its purpose.

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Rogermcfarley t1_irf1hz6 wrote

Most people don't die from HIV now so it's not the death sentence it used to be as the medications we have are good for treating HIV. But yes medication isn't a cure but we're getting closer to one. Biochemistry is very complex and we rely on studies to enhance our knowledge, however not all studies are high quality. Biochemistry is so vastly complex that it's slow going. For example cosmetic conditions such as male pattern baldness are still not fully understood which is why we don't have any drugs yet that were designed to treat baldness, only repurposed drugs such as Minoxidil and Finasteride.

I have these charts from Roche, which are just a few of the main biochemical pathways in the human body, so whenever I get an idea that solving a biochemical problem is easy I just look at the charts >

http://biochemical-pathways.com/#/map/1

There's many 100s or thousands more pathways and more to discover. Nature has millions of years head start on us.

This is a good book to have a look through just to get an idea of how mind bogglingly complex biochemistry is

Biochemical Pathways – An Atlas of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology 2e by Gerhard Michael

I've used that book to look up some biochemical pathway I was interested in and it's not even in the book. Plus depending on brain region or area in the body the biochemical pathways don't work the same way. It's beyond my comprehension anyway, I'm just speaking from a perspective of doing this as a hobby so I'm sure some experts can come in here and explain further if they wish.

The medical breakthroughs reported in the general media often cite poor studies, interpret the studies incorrectly or hugely over simplify biochemical processes. So we're led to believe Serotonin is the happy neurotransmitter and Dopamine is the reward neurotransmitter and it's all just that simple when it's anything of the sort.

Biochemistry is fascinating but the reason some conditions are incurable so far or we wonder why we can't just cure baldness, it is because this is vastly complex and requires high quality methodological study. Then meta analysis of the studies if there are enough.

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