SirGraniteHead

SirGraniteHead t1_j9oz7sh wrote

NH law requires it to be scheduled before anyone else (for both parties). That hasn't changed.

The DNC has voted to endorse a different calendar. The DNC is a private entity and cannot control state law or when NH schedules its primary. But the political parties are private entities and they can set the rules for how they nominate people (e.g., the libertarian party does not have a primary, the DNC has its famous "superdelegates"). What the DNC has said is essentially "if NH goes first, we won't count NH votes in the nomination. Any candidate that campaigns in NH will be punished".

The Republican primary hasn't changed. It still still be first and it will still be counted.

NH will still have to schedule its primary first (by law that is very unlikely to be changed). Then those votes will essentially be ignored for the Democratic party nomination. Probably won't matter, since Biden is presumptively the nominee.

In 2028, when Biden will presumably not be running, and there is thus less need for South Carolina to go first and less fear of a progressive challenger getting early momentum by winning NH, that might change. Or, by 2028, control of the NH legislature might be in the hands of people who don't want the first in the nation primary and they change the law.

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