Stercore_

Stercore_ t1_jaaq72i wrote

Lukashenko has desperately avoided going to war so far. If he wanted to be in the war already, he would have. But he can’t. He knows it would be so wildly unpopular at home, it might just be the thing that finally shakes him of the throne. iirc, even the belarusian military is very against it. They are the one group he can’t piss off, especially now that the russian military is struggling with other things

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Stercore_ t1_ja1h3cc wrote

Wdym? The EU has put in place several measures to hopefully tackle this issue. They’ve frozen alot of hungarys COVID recovery fund for example.

You gotta remember there’s not alot they can do about it either. While they might disagree with Orbans actions, like you and me, they have no legal right to get rid of him in any way. He was democratically elected afterall. The only way they could in theory force him out is if he broke european laws. But then if they try to put him on trial, he could just say no.

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Stercore_ t1_ja1glvq wrote

It doesn’t work that way. There are no votes in nato. Nato is essentially a treaty. How it works is that a state needs to sign the treaty to join, but then every current signatory needs to ratify the change to the treaty that now includes the new signatory. Unless all members agree on the treaty change, it’s impossible to move forwards, since the treaty itself demands unanimity.

Every state in the treaty needs to be unanimous in letting a new one in and therefore changing the treaty. Kicking someone out would also require unanimity, unless of course they agree to put in some clause that lets them kick them out with like a 2/3 majority for example. But then putting in that clause would also require unanimity.

The only real way to kick someone out fully would be to legally scrap the entire nato treaty, and rebuild it as nato 2. but then you would probably suffer from one or more signatories wanting the fundamental treaty to be slightly different. So that poses it’s own challenges.

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