TitusPullo4

TitusPullo4 t1_je7pl9u wrote

Not to be abrasive, but consider that past sentiment with major revolutionary technologies has been similar

The luddite movement in the early 1800s were certain new machines would replace all human labour. Whilst it did replace some human labor jobs, new jobs were created.

John Keynes expressed the same concerns in the 1930s about machines leading to mass unemployment Though he predicted it occurring within the next hundred years, technically he hasn't been proven wrong yet. However since the 1930s, unemployment didn't dramatically rise - the labor market adapted and evolved.

Then before the personal computer was popularized, people were also discussing its ability to displace workers at massive scale. Many, indeed most, wouldn't have predicted today's job market

Past technology did directly replace many of the existing jobs at the time and many people were unable to predict the jobs that would be created from the changes.

It's always occurred in the past with new technology, so there needs to be a more established reason as to why AI will buck this trend of job markets adapting and evolving alongside new technologies.

Don't use difficulty with predicting the future of jobs as a clear indicator that they won't be created, as that's also part of the trend

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TitusPullo4 t1_jdxpkrh wrote

>I don’t think people should start living their lives as if it is an absolute certainty that ASI will solve all their problems within the next couple decades

I 100% agree. People should be very skeptical of anyone selling that narrative - it means they want you to be complacent whilst they earn all of the money. Whoever's earning the money has the power. The odds of UBI ever happening are low - or at least far from guaranteed and we should act under the assumption that it won't happen.

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TitusPullo4 t1_jdxk5df wrote

What’s interesting to me is the shift in perspectives - ten years ago both skynet and the singularity were clearly hypotheses or conspiracy theories, now field leaders aren’t mincing words when they describe them as very real risks.

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TitusPullo4 t1_jb74zme wrote

Thank you. GTFT Rules:

>Start with cooperation: The first move is always cooperation, regardless of the opponent's move. This establishes goodwill and creates a cooperative environment.
>
>Reciprocate cooperation: If the opponent cooperates in the previous round, then reciprocate by cooperating in the current round.
>
>Forgive one-time defections: If the opponent defects in a single round, forgive the defection and continue to cooperate in the subsequent rounds.
>
>Punish repeated defections: If the opponent repeatedly defects, then retaliate by defecting in the current round, but then return to cooperation if the opponent cooperates in the subsequent round.
>
>Be clear: Communicate your strategy and intentions clearly to your opponent to avoid misunderstandings and build trust.

​

>Studies have shown that GTFT can outperform TFT in certain situations where the costs of defection are high, and there is a high likelihood of occasional mistakes or misunderstandings. GTFT can also help to prevent "death spirals" of mutual defection that can occur in TFT when both players defect repeatedly.

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