The hype cycle is meant to represent the maturation and adoption of a specific technology. It's more appropriate to ask, for example, where the large language model is on the graph. I think it's at the very beginning for society at large.
The general public is dimly aware of the new thing that might take all our jobs but it's barely on the radar and I'd wager that in most parts of the world, it isn't on the radar at all.
It may turn out to have a very shallow curve as the technology is developing so quickly. I think people continue to be surprised by the capability of things like gpt-4 and other large reinforcement learning models.
There's also the phenomenon of capability overhang. The creators themselves don't know what all models like gpt-4 are capable of when put in the hands of the public. People are feverishly looking for ways to make it more capable by giving it access to the internet, long term memory, and looping it back on itself.
So it's hard to say that people have inflated expectations except among a demographic comprised of subs like this one.
afighteroffoo t1_jeazv9s wrote
Reply to Where do you place yourself on the curve? by Many_Consequence_337
The hype cycle is meant to represent the maturation and adoption of a specific technology. It's more appropriate to ask, for example, where the large language model is on the graph. I think it's at the very beginning for society at large.
The general public is dimly aware of the new thing that might take all our jobs but it's barely on the radar and I'd wager that in most parts of the world, it isn't on the radar at all.
It may turn out to have a very shallow curve as the technology is developing so quickly. I think people continue to be surprised by the capability of things like gpt-4 and other large reinforcement learning models.
There's also the phenomenon of capability overhang. The creators themselves don't know what all models like gpt-4 are capable of when put in the hands of the public. People are feverishly looking for ways to make it more capable by giving it access to the internet, long term memory, and looping it back on itself.
So it's hard to say that people have inflated expectations except among a demographic comprised of subs like this one.