Did I say that you implied that? Geez.

10 heads in a row is not a big deal given enough trials... that's what happens.

> It may be something more akin to flipping 50 or 100 heads in a row.

50 heads in a row has a chance of 1 in a quintillion. Are you sure that's the chance to get an advantageous mutation?

I doubt that's true, that's like saying it's unlikely to get 3 head coin flips in a row.

I was responding to this:

> SARS-CoV-2, for instance, is highly mutable.

To be charitable to the OP, the comparison base they used was probably different. Thanks for clarification.

yeah, it wasn't a complain about scientists, it was more why it was considered unlikely to mutate and what changed that now is considered "highly mutable" as OP put it.

I seem to remember that people were saying that SARS-CoV-2 was not highly mutable and a potential vaccine (at the time they were saying that) would solve the problem. Why did they think that and what changed?