begals

begals OP t1_j66gkq3 wrote

Probably self explanatory, but I got overconfident in the downward pressure that's been so reliable since Twitter was officially turned over to Musk. After seeing support break at 120 and previously uncharted depths like 110 moving into play, I was pretty convinced it'd find a range below 120 since 112-114 was where I'd thought I'd see significant support show up if that were too be a meaningful inflection point and it really hadn't tested the area too much despite having no problem getting there. So I eased into some spreads and puts when it got up towards 130 and as it continued into the 140's in the run up to earnings. That was probably the most discernible fuck up, seeing them through ER, as I don't love playing earnings in general... but I didn't cut my losses during the first hour of the day on Wednesday when the initial drop on the open left me up about 10k for the day and slightly down overall. Definitely would have been reasonable and smarter to presume the hype of earnings would keep the price up Wednesday, I am glad I showed restraint at least and didn't make any significant earnings plays besides holding what I had, as I thought 160 on the high side was about the limit for the news they could deliver.

Of course TSLA is TSLA, and trying to guess the limits of how wild it can be is a fool's errand. Compounded the mistake by thinking that the earnings were being given too much credit (and I still do, earnings were good but the picture for TSLA hasn't changed very much) and shot a few more shots after earnings hoping the other shoe would drop and people would remember the reasons it fell so far in the first place.

Opened today well in the red, probably about -20 after dropping 25 the two days prior. Luckily I realized I was doing exactly what I've learned not to do, and said fuck it if you cant beat em join em and went long on some calls and bull spreads, while doing my normal friday thing of going in and out of 0 DTE contracts and capturing 10-30% (generally) gains on stuff like NVDA, AMD, HD, MSFT, MU, AMZN, AAPL BABA etc., and ironically, I could have just left the positions open and would have made an ungodly return with the day they all basically had, but I prefer the comfort of realizing P&L throughout the day, especially in a bear market. Today felt like it was summer-fall 2020, curious to see what comes...

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