I don’t really understand the details of how EPA is calculated, but only the Bears and Cardinals gave up more points per game. How can they be league average in ‘expected points’ but almost last in ‘actual points’?

After the first few ‘roughing the passer’ penalties each game the other team will probably have run out of living QBs and defense will become considerably easier

With a point differential of -3 which really shouldn’t even be possible.