didi0625

didi0625 t1_jczid5p wrote

Size does matter in the world of launchers. Small launcher vs medium launcher will obviously show that some rideshare missions done with F9 would equate to a dozen electron launches.

I'm not downplaying as much Sx accomplishment in their active series of flawless launching and landing than you would think.

Tesla was the king of EVs a few years ago. Today i find teslas lacking in front of other EVs. SpaceX just has no real competition, and that could be a flaw for the space industry.

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didi0625 t1_jcz9bb1 wrote

They landed their first f9 in December 2015. Some private companies will try in the next years to land a 1st stage. So i'd say 10 years.

Honestly it's frightening to see Sx's lead in launch capabilities. Hopefully we will be able to count on multiple launch companies in a few years. I'm rooting for Rocketlab (i invested in this company just fyi), but others will also try to take some space in the industry.

Another point is that Sx mainly launches for himself (starlink). So numbers, while being absolutely impressive, are inflated.

Then there is starship. I hope it will work for the future of space exploration and space economy, but they show it's not easy, even if you are SpaceX !

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