I agree the survey study is nothing close to being definitive. And it does smack it marketing. Still, my own experience suggests that these tools will be transformative. At the same time, I’ve gotten lost down an AI rabbit hole where it would have been more efficient for me to just do it myself. On balance though, my assessment is that these are already very helpful tools, and they’ll only get better.

There can’t be a double blind study because the people using the copilot will know they’re using it.

Isn’t it possible that your experience is not representative? Are you using ChatGPT or GitHub copilot?

Have you used the tools yourself? I have, and a 40% increase in productivity is totally plausible, and often an underestimate considering I can now do things I would not have even tried previously. I encourage you to try them, with healthy skepticism and an open mind.

https://github.blog/2022-09-07-research-quantifying-github-copilots-impact-on-developer-productivity-and-happiness/

It cannot solve all coding problems. But it can solve many problems. And if the user is reasonably experienced, even code with errors is useful because they can quickly be corrected. Preliminary evaluations show a 40% increase in developer productivity from GitHub Copilot. And that seems totally plausible to me.

Agreed that they are generally safe when used as directed. But they are contraindicated in anyone with kidney disease, and probably a poor choice for anyone with cardiac risk, bleeding risk, or stroke risk, which in the US, is a lot of people. Sadly, there are no safe pain meds. It’s all risk/benefit calculation.

It’s complicated. Aspirin is an NSAID, but not Al NSAIDS are the same with respect to adverse effects. Aspirin has cardiac benefits because it’s an anticoagulant. The same basic effect is why NSAIDS can cause bleeding strokes. I can’t explain all the mechanisms. I just know it to be true.

It’s more than just emerging. There is an FDA mandated warning on the label about increased risk of stroke and heart attack, in addition to bleeding, and kidney damage. NSAIDS are not generally safe drugs.

This is a meaningless statistic without some reference to the health effects of that level of exposure.