livelearnplay

livelearnplay t1_jed8hp0 wrote

Can’t make this shit up, our timing is indeed impeccable. But honestly the volume has been crap on this pump so there’s not much conviction as you would think. So it’s a tricky area to trade, where we could continue to grind slowly up before another black swan event bring us down

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livelearnplay t1_jed85le wrote

Where you up at any point in this position? I was glad i exited my qqq puts on Tuesday at 20% loss. But then decided to bet against baba on Wednesday with 96puts only to get clapped by the bulls once again. In hindsight I should have followed my own plan and get calls, idk why I inverse myself

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livelearnplay t1_jaa0jkk wrote

With 0 DTE your timing has to be be impeccable and more risk if you’re wrong as they can become worthless pretty quickly if it moves against you. Trading 0DTE requires high movement and momentum to really capitalize on in my opinion. If spy is barely moving $2-$3 then I stay away, but if there’s volume and volatility like last Thursday, then they can be worth playing.

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livelearnplay t1_j69cb99 wrote

Not a conspiracy at all. There is such a thing as strong hands selling to the weak, or as it should be called is professionals setting up retail to hold or be stuck with the bag. If we take a money flow indicator, we can see whether money is flowing into or out of a particular issue. Also, it is important to understand that retail traders usually only make up about 10% of trade and got up to about 25% at the height of the Covid driven volatility spike according to Citadel Securities.

This means in order to move the meter on a money flow indicator institutional trade has to be involved. As you can see since the low in October, institutional trade has not been involved. This is the strong selling to the weak setting up john q public to take the loss. I am almost sure a fall is coming. I can’t say 100% but, in my beliefs, nothing is 100% in trading except the fact that be fearful when everyone else is getting greedy.

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