lorepieri t1_j1z4zp5 wrote

Some thoughts and then some references to neuro-symbolic approaches:

The reality is that AGI has become (always been?) an engineering problem [For intellectual honesty: this is not consensus, e.g. among neuroscientists. See comments below]. Many times in the past we have seen less theoretically scalable methods outperform more principles ones, so nobody can predict which one will win in the short term. LLMs are promising since they can leverage all the hardware acceleration and the pre-existing work of different fields (NLP, Computer Vision, RL). So it may very well be that DL will be enough to achieve great results and more investment and optimisation will pile-in, making symbolic approaches comparatively less attractive to fund in the short term.

Who knows, maybe the right symbolic architecture has already been proposed 20-30 years ago and nobody took the effort to put into a modern GPU accelerated codebase.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.05876 Neurosymbolic AI: The 3rd Wave

https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.05330 Neuro-Symbolic Artificial Intelligence: Current Trends

https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.00388 A Survey on Knowledge Graphs: Representation, Acquisition and Applications


lorepieri OP t1_irto4l9 wrote

All true, but if automation of the work activities becomes straightforward, it's a very unstable situation which can collapse to post-scarcity at any time. And it's enough for one state to do it to create a domino effect. So it's enough to have a single country revolting, a single new election, a carismatic leader. All in all, over the long term, I see this as highly likely.


lorepieri OP t1_irsikeu wrote

>Fully Automated Luxury Communism

Yes, even though I believe it to be a bit overkill. We don't need that level of tech advancement to reach basic post scarcity. No need for asteroid mining, AGI, self-replicating machines, breaktroughts in biotech or related.


lorepieri OP t1_irs7e6g wrote

You are probably right. The scope of this project is only to look at the tech side. It will not be the end of story, as political change is needed. But once the tech evidence is there and clearly mapped by an open source project, it will be easier to motivate people to make further steps.